Schwaz vs Imst Statistics & Analysis

Schwaz

Aug 23, 2026 - 15:00

0 1.15

2 1.45

xG Accuracy: 63%

Imst

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Imst Imst ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 17, 2026 · 01:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4366983

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Imst win · Schwaz 0–2 Imst

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga West Austria
Fixture: Schwaz vs Imst
Kickoff: 2026-08-23 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
xG (showing): Schwaz 1.15 — Imst 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga West Austria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Hohenems	8	7	0	1	21
2	Dornbirn	8	6	2	0	20
3	Imst	8	5	1	2	16
4	Schwaz	8	5	1	2	16
5	Kitzbühel	8	5	0	3	15
6	SK St. Johann	8	4	2	2	14
7	Swarovski Tirol II	8	4	1	3	13
8	Röthis	8	3	3	2	12
9	Fügen	8	3	1	4	10
10	SVG Reichenau	8	2	3	3	9
11	Kufstein	8	1	4	3	7
12	Lochau	8	2	1	5	7
13	Rheindorf Altach II	8	1	3	4	6
14	Lustenau	8	1	2	5	5
15	Wolfurt	8	1	1	6	4
16	Lauterach	8	0	3	5	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Dornbirn	8	23	5	+18	20
2	Hohenems	8	22	7	+15	21
3	Swarovski Tirol II	8	19	10	+9	13
4	Schwaz	8	18	15	+3	16
5	Kitzbühel	8	17	12	+5	15
6	Rheindorf Altach II	8	14	19	-5	6
7	Röthis	8	13	14	-1	12
8	Fügen	8	13	20	-7	10
9	Imst	8	12	6	+6	16
10	SK St. Johann	8	12	9	+3	14
11	Lochau	8	12	22	-10	7
12	Lauterach	8	11	18	-7	3
13	Wolfurt	8	11	20	-9	4
14	Kufstein	8	10	12	-2	7
15	SVG Reichenau	8	9	13	-4	9
16	Lustenau	8	7	21	-14	5