Kitzbühel vs Lustenau Statistics & Analysis

Kitzbühel

Jul 31, 2026 - 17:00

2 1.42

0 1.18

xG Accuracy: 62%

Lustenau

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Kitzbühel Kitzbühel ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 03:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1674194

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kitzbühel win · Kitzbühel 2–0 Lustenau

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga West Austria
Fixture: Kitzbühel vs Lustenau
Kickoff: 2026-07-31 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
xG (showing): Kitzbühel 1.42 — Lustenau 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

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Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga West Austria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Hohenems	7	6	0	1	18
2	Dornbirn	7	5	2	0	17
3	Imst	7	5	1	1	16
4	Schwaz	7	4	1	2	13
5	Kitzbühel	7	4	0	3	12
6	SK St. Johann	7	3	2	2	11
7	Swarovski Tirol II	7	3	1	3	10
8	Fügen	7	3	1	3	10
9	SVG Reichenau	7	2	3	2	9
10	Röthis	7	2	3	2	9
11	Kufstein	7	1	4	2	7
12	Lochau	7	2	1	4	7
13	Rheindorf Altach II	7	1	3	3	6
14	Wolfurt	7	1	1	5	4
15	Lauterach	7	0	3	4	3
16	Lustenau	7	0	2	5	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Dornbirn	7	22	5	+17	17
2	Hohenems	7	20	7	+13	18
3	Kitzbühel	7	15	11	+4	12
4	Schwaz	7	14	13	+1	13
5	Swarovski Tirol II	7	13	10	+3	10
6	Fügen	7	13	14	-1	10
7	Imst	7	12	4	+8	16
8	Rheindorf Altach II	7	12	15	-3	6
9	Röthis	7	11	14	-3	9
10	Lauterach	7	11	17	-6	3
11	Lochau	7	11	19	-8	7
12	SK St. Johann	7	9	8	+1	11
13	Kufstein	7	9	10	-1	7
14	SVG Reichenau	7	9	11	-2	9
15	Wolfurt	7	9	17	-8	4
16	Lustenau	7	4	19	-15	2