Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 5 / Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III

Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III Statistics & Analysis

Atlético Paso Atlético Paso
Oct 03, 2026 - 18:30
1 1.21
0 1.39
xG Accuracy: 64%
Real Madrid III Real Madrid III
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Real Madrid III Atlético Paso ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11259300

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Atlético Paso win · Atlético Paso 1–0 Real Madrid III
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 5
  • Fixture: Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Atlético Paso 1.21 — Real Madrid III 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 39.7% · Probability edge: +8.5 pts · Est. EV: +16.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 5 Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 5 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Conquense 6 4 1 1 13
2 Atlético Madrid III 6 4 1 1 13
3 Numancia 6 3 3 0 12
4 Salamanca UDS 6 4 0 2 12
5 CF Talavera 6 3 2 1 11
6 Real Valladolid B 6 3 1 2 10
7 San Sebastián de los Reyes 6 3 1 2 10
8 Guadalajara 6 2 2 2 8
9 Gimnástica Segoviana 6 2 2 2 8
10 Navalcarnero 6 2 2 2 8
11 RSD Alcalá 6 2 1 3 7
12 Real Ávila 6 2 1 3 7
13 Atlético Tordesillas 6 1 2 3 5
14 Atlético Paso 6 1 2 3 5
15 Calvo Sotelo 6 1 2 3 5
16 Albacete II 6 1 2 3 5
17 Real Madrid III 6 0 4 2 4
18 Getafe II 6 0 3 3 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Conquense 6 14 7 +7 13
2 Real Valladolid B 6 12 5 +7 10
3 Guadalajara 6 12 10 +2 8
4 Gimnástica Segoviana 6 12 11 +1 8
5 Salamanca UDS 6 10 7 +3 12
6 RSD Alcalá 6 10 10 0 7
7 Atlético Madrid III 6 9 6 +3 13
8 CF Talavera 6 9 6 +3 11
9 San Sebastián de los Reyes 6 9 6 +3 10
10 Navalcarnero 6 9 9 0 8
11 Atlético Tordesillas 6 8 10 -2 5
12 Albacete II 6 7 19 -12 5
13 Numancia 6 6 1 +5 12
14 Real Ávila 6 6 9 -3 7
15 Atlético Paso 6 4 7 -3 5
16 Getafe II 6 4 9 -5 3
17 Calvo Sotelo 6 2 8 -6 5
18 Real Madrid III 6 1 4 -3 4
Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 5 Spagna. Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 5 Pronostici