Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 3 / Intercity vs Yeclano

Intercity vs Yeclano Statistics & Analysis

Intercity Intercity
Oct 04, 2026 - 10:00
1 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 85%
Yeclano Yeclano
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Intercity Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11659702

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Intercity 1–1 Yeclano
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 3
  • Fixture: Intercity vs Yeclano
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Intercity 1.32 — Yeclano 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.5% · Implied: 44.9% · Probability edge: +9.6 pts · Est. EV: +14.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 3 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 La Nucía 4 4 0 0 12
2 Castellón II 5 4 0 1 12
3 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 9
4 Castellonense 4 3 0 1 9
5 Intercity 4 2 2 0 8
6 Alcoyano 4 2 1 1 7
7 Yeclano 4 2 1 1 7
8 Orihuela 4 2 1 1 7
9 Cieza 4 1 2 1 5
10 Deportiva Minera 4 1 2 1 5
11 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 5
12 Mallorca B 4 1 2 1 5
13 Elche II 5 1 1 3 4
14 Poblense 4 1 0 3 3
15 Real Murcia B 4 1 0 3 3
16 Atlético Baleares 4 0 2 2 2
17 Valencia B 4 0 1 3 1
18 Peña Deportiva 4 0 1 3 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Castellón II 5 12 5 +7 12
2 UCAM Murcia 5 12 6 +6 9
3 La Nucía 4 9 1 +8 12
4 Intercity 4 6 4 +2 8
5 Orihuela 4 6 7 -1 7
6 Castellonense 4 5 3 +2 9
7 Alcoyano 4 5 4 +1 7
8 Real Murcia B 4 4 8 -4 3
9 Atlético Baleares 4 4 8 -4 2
10 Yeclano 4 3 2 +1 7
11 Cieza 4 3 3 0 5
12 Deportiva Minera 4 3 4 -1 5
13 Lorca Deportiva 5 3 4 -1 5
14 Elche II 5 3 8 -5 4
15 Mallorca B 4 2 3 -1 5
16 Poblense 4 2 5 -3 3
17 Valencia B 4 2 5 -3 1
18 Peña Deportiva 4 1 5 -4 1
Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Spagna. Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 3 Pronostici