Osasuna B vs Calamocha Statistics & Analysis

Oct 04, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Osasuna B Osasuna B ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11678794

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Osasuna B win · Osasuna B 2–0 Calamocha
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 2
  • Fixture: Osasuna B vs Calamocha
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Osasuna B 1.32 — Calamocha 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Barcelona B 4 3 1 0 10
2 Espanyol B 4 3 0 1 9
3 Osasuna B 4 3 0 1 9
4 Girona B 4 2 1 1 7
5 Olot 4 2 1 1 7
6 Tudelano 4 2 1 1 7
7 Ebro 4 2 1 1 7
8 Terrassa FC 4 2 1 1 7
9 Peña Sport 5 2 1 2 7
10 Manresa 4 2 0 2 6
11 Reddis 4 2 0 2 6
12 Barbastro 4 1 2 1 5
13 Utebo 4 1 2 1 5
14 UD Logroñés B 4 1 2 1 5
15 Calamocha 4 1 0 3 3
16 SD Logroñés 5 0 2 3 2
17 Náxara 4 0 1 3 1
18 Arnedo 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Espanyol B 4 13 3 +10 9
2 Girona B 4 11 9 +2 7
3 Barcelona B 4 10 0 +10 10
4 Osasuna B 4 8 4 +4 9
5 Manresa 4 7 4 +3 6
6 Olot 4 7 5 +2 7
7 Peña Sport 5 7 8 -1 7
8 Tudelano 4 6 4 +2 7
9 Ebro 4 5 3 +2 7
10 Barbastro 4 4 4 0 5
11 Utebo 4 4 4 0 5
12 SD Logroñés 5 4 11 -7 2
13 UD Logroñés B 4 3 3 0 5
14 Calamocha 4 3 11 -8 3
15 Terrassa FC 4 2 1 +1 7
16 Reddis 4 2 3 -1 6
17 Arnedo 4 2 14 -12 0
18 Náxara 4 1 8 -7 1