Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 2 / Calamocha vs Tudelano

Calamocha vs Tudelano Statistics & Analysis

Calamocha Calamocha
Sep 27, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.26
3 1.34
xG Accuracy: 45%
Tudelano Tudelano
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Tudelano Tudelano ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10100490

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tudelano win · Calamocha 0–3 Tudelano
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 2
  • Fixture: Calamocha vs Tudelano
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Calamocha 1.26 — Tudelano 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 42.0% · Probability edge: +6.2 pts · Est. EV: +10.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Barcelona B 4 3 1 0 10
2 Espanyol B 4 3 0 1 9
3 Osasuna B 4 3 0 1 9
4 Girona B 4 2 1 1 7
5 Olot 4 2 1 1 7
6 Tudelano 4 2 1 1 7
7 Ebro 4 2 1 1 7
8 Terrassa FC 4 2 1 1 7
9 Peña Sport 5 2 1 2 7
10 Manresa 4 2 0 2 6
11 Reddis 4 2 0 2 6
12 Barbastro 4 1 2 1 5
13 Utebo 4 1 2 1 5
14 UD Logroñés B 4 1 2 1 5
15 Calamocha 4 1 0 3 3
16 SD Logroñés 5 0 2 3 2
17 Náxara 4 0 1 3 1
18 Arnedo 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Espanyol B 4 13 3 +10 9
2 Girona B 4 11 9 +2 7
3 Barcelona B 4 10 0 +10 10
4 Osasuna B 4 8 4 +4 9
5 Manresa 4 7 4 +3 6
6 Olot 4 7 5 +2 7
7 Peña Sport 5 7 8 -1 7
8 Tudelano 4 6 4 +2 7
9 Ebro 4 5 3 +2 7
10 Barbastro 4 4 4 0 5
11 Utebo 4 4 4 0 5
12 SD Logroñés 5 4 11 -7 2
13 UD Logroñés B 4 3 3 0 5
14 Calamocha 4 3 11 -8 3
15 Terrassa FC 4 2 1 +1 7
16 Reddis 4 2 3 -1 6
17 Arnedo 4 2 14 -12 0
18 Náxara 4 1 8 -7 1
Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Spagna. Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Pronostici