Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 1 / Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta

Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta Statistics & Analysis

Atlético Astorga Atlético Astorga
Oct 03, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.35
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 64%
Amorebieta Amorebieta
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Atlético Astorga Amorebieta ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11249593

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Amorebieta win · Atlético Astorga 0–1 Amorebieta
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 1
  • Fixture: Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Atlético Astorga 1.35 — Amorebieta 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 41.9% · Probability edge: +6.3 pts · Est. EV: +11.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 1 Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 12
2 Deportivo Alavés II 5 4 0 1 12
3 Bergantiños 4 3 1 0 10
4 Sestao River 4 3 0 1 9
5 Ourense CF 4 3 0 1 9
6 Gernika 4 2 2 0 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 7
10 Marino de Luanco 5 2 0 3 6
11 Coruxo 4 1 2 1 5
12 Compostela 4 1 1 2 4
13 Real Oviedo B 4 1 1 2 4
14 Gimnástica Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 4
16 Atlético Astorga 5 1 0 4 3
17 Arosa 4 0 2 2 2
18 Racing Santander II 5 0 1 4 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Deportivo Alavés II 5 12 6 +6 12
2 Gernika 4 11 3 +8 8
3 Eibar B 5 10 3 +7 12
4 Bergantiños 4 9 4 +5 10
5 Basconia 5 9 8 +1 8
6 Marino de Luanco 5 6 8 -2 6
7 Real Oviedo B 4 6 9 -3 4
8 Gimnástica Torrelavega 5 6 10 -4 4
9 Arosa 4 6 13 -7 2
10 Sestao River 4 5 2 +3 9
11 Ourense CF 4 5 3 +2 9
12 Amorebieta 5 5 4 +1 7
13 Coruxo 4 5 4 +1 5
14 Portugalete 5 5 6 -1 7
15 Atlético Astorga 5 5 7 -2 3
16 Llanera 5 5 10 -5 4
17 Racing Santander II 5 3 11 -8 1
18 Compostela 4 2 4 -2 4
Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 1 Spagna. Segunda División RFEF - Gruppo 1 Pronostici