Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Primera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 / Sant Andreu vs Real Madrid Castilla

Sant Andreu vs Real Madrid Castilla Statistics & Analysis

Sep 23, 2026 - 19:00
1 1.22
1 1.38
xG Accuracy: 85%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Real Madrid Castilla Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 17, 2026 · 01:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9167888

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Sant Andreu 1–1 Real Madrid Castilla
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Primera División RFEF - Gruppo 2
  • Fixture: Sant Andreu vs Real Madrid Castilla
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-23 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.0%
  • xG (showing): Sant Andreu 1.22 — Real Madrid Castilla 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.4% · Implied: 50.6% · Probability edge: +3.8 pts · Est. EV: +3.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Primera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 Primera División RFEF - Gruppo 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Real Saragozza 7 5 1 1 16
2 Real Murcia 7 5 0 2 15
3 Villarreal B 7 4 2 1 14
4 Hércules 7 4 1 2 13
5 AD Alcorcón 7 3 3 1 12
6 FC Cartagena 7 3 3 1 12
7 Real Jaén 7 3 3 1 12
8 Antequera CF 7 2 4 1 10
9 Huesca 7 2 4 1 10
10 Ibiza 7 3 1 3 10
11 Atlético Madrid B 7 2 3 2 9
12 Real Madrid Castilla 7 2 3 2 9
13 Sant Andreu 7 2 2 3 8
14 Gimnàstic 7 2 2 3 8
15 Algeciras CF 7 2 1 4 7
16 Europa FC 7 2 1 4 7
17 Águilas FC 7 1 3 3 6
18 Teruel 7 1 2 4 5
19 Rayo Majadahonda 7 1 1 5 4
20 Juventud Torremolinos 7 0 2 5 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Real Saragozza 7 16 10 +6 16
2 Villarreal B 7 15 9 +6 14
3 Atlético Madrid B 7 15 12 +3 9
4 AD Alcorcón 7 13 5 +8 12
5 Real Murcia 7 11 7 +4 15
6 Real Jaén 7 11 8 +3 12
7 Antequera CF 7 11 9 +2 10
8 FC Cartagena 7 10 5 +5 12
9 Huesca 7 9 9 0 10
10 Ibiza 7 9 9 0 10
11 Gimnàstic 7 9 11 -2 8
12 Algeciras CF 7 9 13 -4 7
13 Real Madrid Castilla 7 8 7 +1 9
14 Juventud Torremolinos 7 8 18 -10 2
15 Sant Andreu 7 7 8 -1 8
16 Águilas FC 7 7 12 -5 6
17 Hércules 7 6 5 +1 13
18 Europa FC 7 6 11 -5 7
19 Rayo Majadahonda 7 5 8 -3 4
20 Teruel 7 3 12 -9 5