Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. La Liga / Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander

Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander Statistics & Analysis

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:30
5 1.04
0 1.60
xG Accuracy: 22%
Racing Santander Racing Santander
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Racing Santander Celta Vigo ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 5-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8704393

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Celta Vigo win · Celta Vigo 5–0 Racing Santander
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: La Liga
  • Fixture: Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 23.1% · Draw 28.1% · Away 48.8%
  • xG (showing): Celta Vigo 1.04 — Racing Santander 1.6 (total xG ≈ 2.64)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 50.8% · Implied: 44.5% · Probability edge: +6.3 pts · Est. EV: +15.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.1% · No 46.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.9%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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La Liga La Liga — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Barcellona 7 7 0 0 21
2 Atletico Madrid 7 5 1 1 16
3 Real Betis 7 5 1 1 16
4 Real Madrid 7 5 0 2 15
5 Siviglia 7 4 1 2 13
6 Deportivo Alavés 7 3 2 2 11
7 Deportivo La Coruña 7 2 4 1 10
8 Real Sociedad 7 3 1 3 10
9 Villarreal 7 2 2 3 8
10 Athletic Club 6 2 2 2 8
11 Getafe 7 2 2 3 8
12 Rayo Vallecano 7 2 2 3 8
13 Osasuna 7 2 2 3 8
14 Celta Vigo 7 1 4 2 7
15 Espanyol 7 2 1 4 7
16 Racing Santander 7 2 1 4 7
17 Levante 6 1 2 3 5
18 Elche 7 1 2 4 5
19 Valencia 7 1 1 5 4
20 Malaga 7 0 3 4 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Barcellona 7 31 7 +24 21
2 Real Madrid 7 18 8 +10 15
3 Atletico Madrid 7 16 7 +9 16
4 Villarreal 7 13 12 +1 8
5 Deportivo Alavés 7 11 6 +5 11
6 Rayo Vallecano 7 11 16 -5 8
7 Elche 7 11 17 -6 5
8 Racing Santander 7 11 21 -10 7
9 Deportivo La Coruña 7 10 8 +2 10
10 Siviglia 7 10 9 +1 13
11 Espanyol 7 10 10 0 7
12 Real Betis 7 9 7 +2 16
13 Real Sociedad 7 9 13 -4 10
14 Celta Vigo 7 8 6 +2 7
15 Levante 6 8 12 -4 5
16 Athletic Club 6 7 6 +1 8
17 Osasuna 7 6 13 -7 8
18 Getafe 7 4 7 -3 8
19 Valencia 7 4 13 -9 4
20 Malaga 7 3 12 -9 3
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Barcellona 7 14.9 2.7 +12.2 21
2 Real Madrid 7 5.7 1.8 +3.9 15
3 Osasuna 7 6.7 3.3 +3.4 8
4 Deportivo Alavés 7 5.8 3.6 +2.2 11
5 Racing Santander 7 4.5 3.1 +1.4 7
6 Espanyol 7 3.8 2.9 +0.9 7
7 Villarreal 7 7.6 7.0 +0.6 8
8 Real Betis 7 7.2 7.4 -0.2 16
9 Levante 6 5.4 5.7 -0.3 5
10 Siviglia 7 3.7 4.2 -0.5 13
11 Athletic Club 6 4.1 4.9 -0.8 8
12 Malaga 7 5.0 6.1 -1.1 3
13 Real Sociedad 7 3.6 5.0 -1.4 10
14 Deportivo La Coruña 7 2.9 4.7 -1.8 10
15 Atletico Madrid 7 2.5 4.7 -2.2 16
16 Elche 7 3.2 6.0 -2.8 5
17 Getafe 7 2.8 5.6 -2.8 8
18 Valencia 7 3.7 6.9 -3.2 4
19 Rayo Vallecano 7 3.5 7.0 -3.5 8
20 Celta Vigo 7 2.4 6.5 -4.1 7
La Liga Spagna. La Liga Pronostici