Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Segunda División / Celta Vigo B vs Real Sociedad B

Celta Vigo B vs Real Sociedad B Statistics & Analysis

Celta Vigo B Celta Vigo B
Oct 10, 2026 - 19:00
4 1.54
1 1.43
xG Accuracy: 45%
Real Sociedad B Real Sociedad B
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Celta Vigo B Celta Vigo B ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 04:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13250207

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Celta Vigo B win · Celta Vigo B 4–1 Real Sociedad B
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Segunda División
  • Fixture: Celta Vigo B vs Real Sociedad B
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.3% · Draw 27.5% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Celta Vigo B 1.54 — Real Sociedad B 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.97)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 57.0% · Implied: 53.5% · Probability edge: +3.5 pts · Est. EV: +3.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 61.2% · No 38.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.3%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División Segunda División — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 21
2 CD Castellón 8 6 2 0 20
3 UD Almería 8 6 0 2 18
4 Sabadell 9 4 4 1 16
5 Girona 8 4 2 2 14
6 Maiorca 8 4 2 2 14
7 Burgos 8 4 2 2 14
8 Sporting Gijón 8 4 1 3 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 11
10 Oviedo 8 3 2 3 11
11 Celta Vigo B 9 3 2 4 11
12 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 11
13 Eldense 9 3 2 4 11
14 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 11
15 Leganés 8 3 2 3 11
16 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 9
17 Cordoba 9 3 0 6 9
18 Real Sociedad B 9 2 2 5 8
19 Cadice 8 1 4 3 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 7
21 AD Ceuta FC 9 1 2 6 5
22 Albacete Balompié 8 0 1 7 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Eibar 8 18 7 +11 21
2 CD Castellón 8 15 3 +12 20
3 Girona 8 14 8 +6 14
4 Celta Vigo B 9 14 15 -1 11
5 Cordoba 9 14 20 -6 9
6 UD Almería 8 13 5 +8 18
7 Granada CF 8 13 13 0 11
8 Burgos 8 12 9 +3 14
9 Las Palmas 8 12 13 -1 11
10 FC Andorra 8 12 15 -3 7
11 Real Sociedad B 9 12 17 -5 8
12 Cadice 8 11 10 +1 7
13 Sabadell 9 10 7 +3 16
14 Eldense 9 10 11 -1 11
15 Tenerife 8 10 12 -2 11
16 Maiorca 8 8 3 +5 14
17 Sporting Gijón 8 8 8 0 13
18 Oviedo 8 8 8 0 11
19 Valladolid 8 8 11 -3 9
20 AD Ceuta FC 9 8 20 -12 5
21 Leganés 8 6 11 -5 11
22 Albacete Balompié 8 5 15 -10 1
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Eldense 9 2.9 1.4 +1.5 11
2 Cadice 8 1.6 0.6 +1.0 7
3 Sabadell 9 1.4 0.9 +0.5 16
4 Real Sociedad B 9 1.9 2.0 -0.1 8
5 AD Ceuta FC 9 0.9 1.4 -0.5 5
6 Celta Vigo B 9 2.6 3.5 -0.9 11
7 Cordoba 9 1.4 2.9 -1.5 9
8 Eibar 8 — — — 21
9 CD Castellón 8 — — — 20
10 UD Almería 8 — — — 18
11 Girona 8 — — — 14
12 Maiorca 8 — — — 14
13 Burgos 8 — — — 14
14 Sporting Gijón 8 — — — 13
15 Granada CF 8 — — — 11
16 Oviedo 8 — — — 11
17 Las Palmas 8 — — — 11
18 Tenerife 8 — — — 11
19 Leganés 8 — — — 11
20 Valladolid 8 — — — 9
21 FC Andorra 8 — — — 7
22 Albacete Balompié 8 — — — 1
Segunda División Spagna. Segunda División Pronostici