Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Segunda División / Sporting Gijón vs Celta Vigo B

Sporting Gijón vs Celta Vigo B Statistics & Analysis

Sporting Gijón Sporting Gijón
Oct 04, 2026 - 14:15
3 1.18
2 1.06
xG Accuracy: 47%
Celta Vigo B Celta Vigo B
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Sporting Gijón Sporting Gijón ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11677624

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sporting Gijón win · Sporting Gijón 3–2 Celta Vigo B
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Segunda División
  • Fixture: Sporting Gijón vs Celta Vigo B
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 14:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.7% · Draw 31.4% · Away 28.9%
  • xG (showing): Sporting Gijón 1.18 — Celta Vigo B 1.06 (total xG ≈ 2.24)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División Segunda División — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 21
2 CD Castellón 8 6 2 0 20
3 UD Almería 8 6 0 2 18
4 Girona 8 4 2 2 14
5 Maiorca 8 4 2 2 14
6 Burgos 8 4 2 2 14
7 Sabadell 8 3 4 1 13
8 Sporting Gijón 8 4 1 3 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 11
10 Oviedo 8 3 2 3 11
11 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 11
12 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 11
13 Leganés 8 3 2 3 11
14 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 9
15 Cordoba 8 3 0 5 9
16 Real Sociedad B 8 2 2 4 8
17 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8
18 Celta Vigo B 8 2 2 4 8
19 Cadice 8 1 4 3 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 7
21 AD Ceuta FC 8 1 2 5 5
22 Albacete Balompié 8 0 1 7 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Eibar 8 18 7 +11 21
2 CD Castellón 8 15 3 +12 20
3 Girona 8 14 8 +6 14
4 UD Almería 8 13 5 +8 18
5 Granada CF 8 13 13 0 11
6 Cordoba 8 13 18 -5 9
7 Burgos 8 12 9 +3 14
8 Las Palmas 8 12 13 -1 11
9 FC Andorra 8 12 15 -3 7
10 Cadice 8 11 10 +1 7
11 Real Sociedad B 8 11 13 -2 8
12 Tenerife 8 10 12 -2 11
13 Celta Vigo B 8 10 14 -4 8
14 Maiorca 8 8 3 +5 14
15 Sabadell 8 8 6 +2 13
16 Sporting Gijón 8 8 8 0 13
17 Oviedo 8 8 8 0 11
18 Eldense 8 8 10 -2 8
19 Valladolid 8 8 11 -3 9
20 AD Ceuta FC 8 7 18 -11 5
21 Leganés 8 6 11 -5 11
22 Albacete Balompié 8 5 15 -10 1
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Cadice 8 1.6 0.6 +1.0 7
2 Celta Vigo B 8 0.6 1.6 -1.0 8
3 Eibar 8 — — — 21
4 CD Castellón 8 — — — 20
5 UD Almería 8 — — — 18
6 Girona 8 — — — 14
7 Maiorca 8 — — — 14
8 Burgos 8 — — — 14
9 Sabadell 8 — — — 13
10 Sporting Gijón 8 — — — 13
11 Granada CF 8 — — — 11
12 Oviedo 8 — — — 11
13 Las Palmas 8 — — — 11
14 Tenerife 8 — — — 11
15 Leganés 8 — — — 11
16 Valladolid 8 — — — 9
17 Cordoba 8 — — — 9
18 Real Sociedad B 8 — — — 8
19 Eldense 8 — — — 8
20 FC Andorra 8 — — — 7
21 AD Ceuta FC 8 — — — 5
22 Albacete Balompié 8 — — — 1
Segunda División Spagna. Segunda División Pronostici