Statistiche / Calcio / Spagna. Segunda División / Cadice vs Leganés

Cadice vs Leganés Statistics & Analysis

Cadice Cadice
Oct 03, 2026 - 16:30
4 1.14
0 1.10
xG Accuracy: 34%
Leganés Leganés
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Cadice Cadice ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11255475

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cadice win · Cadice 4–0 Leganés
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Segunda División
  • Fixture: Cadice vs Leganés
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.8% · Draw 32.3% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Cadice 1.14 — Leganés 1.1 (total xG ≈ 2.24)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 61.2% · Implied: 57.8% · Probability edge: +3.4 pts · Est. EV: +2.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División Segunda División — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 21
2 CD Castellón 7 6 1 0 19
3 UD Almería 8 6 0 2 18
4 Burgos 8 4 2 2 14
5 Girona 7 4 1 2 13
6 Maiorca 7 4 1 2 13
7 Sabadell 7 3 3 1 12
8 Oviedo 8 3 2 3 11
9 Tenerife 7 3 2 2 11
10 Leganés 8 3 2 3 11
11 Las Palmas 7 3 1 3 10
12 Sporting Gijón 7 3 1 3 10
13 Granada CF 7 2 2 3 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 2 2 3 8
15 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8
16 Celta Vigo B 7 2 2 3 8
17 Valladolid 7 2 2 3 8
18 Cadice 8 1 4 3 7
19 FC Andorra 7 2 0 5 6
20 Cordoba 7 2 0 5 6
21 AD Ceuta FC 7 1 1 5 4
22 Albacete Balompié 8 0 1 7 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Eibar 8 18 7 +11 21
2 CD Castellón 7 14 2 +12 19
3 Girona 7 14 8 +6 13
4 UD Almería 8 13 5 +8 18
5 Burgos 8 12 9 +3 14
6 FC Andorra 7 12 15 -3 6
7 Cadice 8 11 10 +1 7
8 Las Palmas 7 10 11 -1 10
9 Granada CF 7 10 11 -1 8
10 Cordoba 7 10 16 -6 6
11 Real Sociedad B 7 9 10 -1 8
12 Maiorca 7 8 3 +5 13
13 Sabadell 7 8 6 +2 12
14 Oviedo 8 8 8 0 11
15 Tenerife 7 8 9 -1 11
16 Eldense 8 8 10 -2 8
17 Celta Vigo B 7 8 11 -3 8
18 Valladolid 7 6 9 -3 8
19 Leganés 8 6 11 -5 11
20 AD Ceuta FC 7 6 17 -11 4
21 Sporting Gijón 7 5 6 -1 10
22 Albacete Balompié 8 5 15 -10 1
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Cadice 8 1.6 0.6 +1.0 7
2 Celta Vigo B 7 0.6 1.6 -1.0 8
3 Eibar 8 — — — 21
4 CD Castellón 7 — — — 19
5 UD Almería 8 — — — 18
6 Burgos 8 — — — 14
7 Girona 7 — — — 13
8 Maiorca 7 — — — 13
9 Sabadell 7 — — — 12
10 Oviedo 8 — — — 11
11 Tenerife 7 — — — 11
12 Leganés 8 — — — 11
13 Las Palmas 7 — — — 10
14 Sporting Gijón 7 — — — 10
15 Granada CF 7 — — — 8
16 Real Sociedad B 7 — — — 8
17 Eldense 8 — — — 8
18 Valladolid 7 — — — 8
19 FC Andorra 7 — — — 6
20 Cordoba 7 — — — 6
21 AD Ceuta FC 7 — — — 4
22 Albacete Balompié 8 — — — 1
Segunda División Spagna. Segunda División Pronostici