Haman vs Pyeongchang United Statistics & Analysis

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Haman

Aug 29, 2026 - 10:00

2 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 52%

Pyeongchang United

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Haman Pyeongchang United ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 01:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5123379

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Pyeongchang United win · Haman 2–3 Pyeongchang United

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: K4 League
Fixture: Haman vs Pyeongchang United
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Haman 1.32 — Pyeongchang United 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

K4 League — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Jinju Citizen	20	16	2	2	50
2	Jincheon	20	11	5	4	38
3	Namyangju	21	10	6	5	36
4	Jungnang Chorus Mustang	20	10	4	6	34
5	Geumsan Insam FC	21	8	8	5	32
6	Jecheon Citizen	21	7	7	7	28
7	Geoje Citizen FC	18	8	3	7	27
8	Pyeongchang United	20	8	2	10	26
9	Gijang United	20	8	2	10	26
10	Sejong SA	20	8	2	10	26
11	Haman	19	6	2	11	20
12	Seosan Pioneer	20	4	0	16	12
13	Pyeongtaek Citizen	20	2	5	13	11

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Jinju Citizen	20	50	16	+34	50
2	Jincheon	20	38	20	+18	38
3	Jungnang Chorus Mustang	20	38	23	+15	34
4	Geumsan Insam FC	21	33	25	+8	32
5	Geoje Citizen FC	18	33	26	+7	27
6	Namyangju	21	30	26	+4	36
7	Sejong SA	20	29	40	-11	26
8	Gijang United	20	28	36	-8	26
9	Pyeongchang United	20	27	31	-4	26
10	Jecheon Citizen	21	26	31	-5	28
11	Haman	19	22	32	-10	20
12	Seosan Pioneer	20	22	46	-24	12
13	Pyeongtaek Citizen	20	20	44	-24	11