Statistiche / Calcio / Italia. Campionato Primavera 1 / Como Primavera vs Juventus U20

Como Primavera vs Juventus U20 Statistics & Analysis

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Como Primavera
Aug 29, 2026 - 14:45
0 1.26
0 1.34
xG Accuracy: 49%
Juventus U20 Juventus U20
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Juventus U20 Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 03:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5147684

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Como Primavera 0–0 Juventus U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Campionato Primavera 1
  • Fixture: Como Primavera vs Juventus U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Como Primavera 1.26 — Juventus U20 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Campionato Primavera 1 Campionato Primavera 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Inter Primavera 5 4 1 0 13
2 Parma Primavera 5 3 2 0 11
3 Roma Primavera 5 3 2 0 11
4 Empoli Primavera 5 3 2 0 11
5 Lazio U20 5 3 1 1 10
6 Bologna Primavera 5 3 0 2 9
7 Genoa Primavera 5 2 1 2 7
8 Hellas Verona Primavera 5 2 1 2 7
9 Milan U20 5 2 1 2 7
10 Cagliari Primavera 5 2 1 2 7
11 Cesena Primavera 5 1 3 1 6
12 Como Primavera 5 1 2 2 5
13 Torino Primavera 5 1 2 2 5
14 Lecce U20 5 0 4 1 4
15 Monza U20 5 1 1 3 4
16 Sassuolo Primavera 5 1 1 3 4
17 Albinoleffe U20 5 1 1 3 4
18 Fiorentina U20 5 0 3 2 3
19 Juventus U20 5 0 3 2 3
20 Atalanta Primavera 5 1 0 4 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Inter Primavera 5 15 5 +10 13
2 Bologna Primavera 5 12 12 0 9
3 Torino Primavera 5 12 13 -1 5
4 Parma Primavera 5 11 5 +6 11
5 Lazio U20 5 10 5 +5 10
6 Roma Primavera 5 9 5 +4 11
7 Empoli Primavera 5 9 6 +3 11
8 Genoa Primavera 5 8 7 +1 7
9 Lecce U20 5 8 9 -1 4
10 Monza U20 5 8 10 -2 4
11 Cagliari Primavera 5 8 12 -4 7
12 Sassuolo Primavera 5 8 12 -4 4
13 Atalanta Primavera 5 7 13 -6 3
14 Hellas Verona Primavera 5 6 5 +1 7
15 Milan U20 5 6 6 0 7
16 Como Primavera 5 6 6 0 5
17 Cesena Primavera 5 5 5 0 6
18 Fiorentina U20 5 5 7 -2 3
19 Juventus U20 5 4 7 -3 3
20 Albinoleffe U20 5 4 11 -7 4