Statistiche / Calcio / Polonia. III Liga - Gruppo 1 / Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki

Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Statistics & Analysis

Olimpia Zambrów Olimpia Zambrów
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
3 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 44%
Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Olimpia Zambrów Olimpia Zambrów ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13205968

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Olimpia Zambrów win · Olimpia Zambrów 3–0 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: III Liga - Gruppo 1
  • Fixture: Olimpia Zambrów vs Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Olimpia Zambrów 1.31 — Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 34.5% · Probability edge: +17.3 pts · Est. EV: +42.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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III Liga - Gruppo 1 III Liga - Gruppo 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Weszlo 10 8 2 0 26
2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 10 6 2 2 20
3 Wigry Suwałki 10 5 4 1 19
4 Pelikan Łowicz 10 6 1 3 19
5 Wisła Płock II 10 5 3 2 18
6 Swit 10 5 2 3 17
7 Ząbkovia Ząbki 10 5 1 4 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 15
9 Warta Sieradz 9 4 2 3 14
10 Widzew II 9 4 1 4 13
11 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 10 4 1 5 13
12 ŁKS Łódź II 10 3 2 5 11
13 Olimpia Zambrów 10 3 2 5 11
14 Olimpia Elbląg 10 3 1 6 10
15 Mławianka Mława 10 3 1 6 10
16 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 7
17 Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński 10 1 3 6 6
18 Łomża 10 0 3 7 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 10 26 17 +9 20
2 Weszlo 10 23 7 +16 26
3 Wisła Płock II 10 22 17 +5 18
4 Jagiellonia II 10 22 20 +2 15
5 Widzew II 9 20 17 +3 13
6 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 10 20 21 -1 13
7 Olimpia Zambrów 10 20 26 -6 11
8 Mławianka Mława 10 20 28 -8 10
9 Ząbkovia Ząbki 10 19 18 +1 16
10 Wigry Suwałki 10 18 10 +8 19
11 Warta Sieradz 9 17 15 +2 14
12 Swit 10 16 10 +6 17
13 Pelikan Łowicz 10 16 12 +4 19
14 ŁKS Łódź II 10 16 19 -3 11
15 Olimpia Elbląg 10 14 20 -6 10
16 Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński 10 14 21 -7 6
17 Troszyn 10 12 24 -12 7
18 Łomża 10 10 23 -13 3
III Liga - Gruppo 1 Polonia. III Liga - Gruppo 1 Pronostici