Statistiche / Calcio / Polonia. III Liga - Gruppo 1 / Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II

Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II Statistics & Analysis

Wigry Suwałki Wigry Suwałki
Oct 03, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.39
0 1.21
xG Accuracy: 64%
Wisła Płock II Wisła Płock II
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Wigry Suwałki Wigry Suwałki ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11249552

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Wigry Suwałki win · Wigry Suwałki 1–0 Wisła Płock II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: III Liga - Gruppo 1
  • Fixture: Wigry Suwałki vs Wisła Płock II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Wigry Suwałki 1.39 — Wisła Płock II 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 39.6% · Probability edge: +12.2 pts · Est. EV: +27.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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III Liga - Gruppo 1 III Liga - Gruppo 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Weszlo 12 9 2 1 29
2 Wigry Suwałki 12 7 4 1 25
3 Pelikan Łowicz 12 7 2 3 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 21
5 Wisła Płock II 12 6 3 3 21
6 Ząbkovia Ząbki 12 6 2 4 20
7 Swit 12 6 2 4 20
8 Olimpia Zambrów 12 5 2 5 17
9 Jagiellonia II 12 4 4 4 16
10 Olimpia Elbląg 12 5 1 6 16
11 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 15
12 Widzew II 11 4 2 5 14
13 ŁKS Łódź II 12 4 2 6 14
14 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 12 4 1 7 13
15 Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński 12 3 3 6 12
16 Mławianka Mława 12 3 1 8 10
17 Troszyn 12 2 4 6 10
18 Łomża 12 0 3 9 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 28 22 +6 21
2 Weszlo 12 26 10 +16 29
3 Olimpia Zambrów 12 26 27 -1 17
4 Wisła Płock II 12 24 19 +5 21
5 Ząbkovia Ząbki 12 24 20 +4 20
6 Jagiellonia II 12 24 23 +1 16
7 ŁKS Łódź II 12 23 24 -1 14
8 Mławianka Mława 12 23 34 -11 10
9 Wigry Suwałki 12 22 11 +11 25
10 Swit 12 22 19 +3 20
11 Pelikan Łowicz 12 21 14 +7 23
12 Widzew II 11 21 20 +1 14
13 Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki 12 21 26 -5 13
14 Warta Sieradz 11 19 19 0 15
15 Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński 12 19 24 -5 12
16 Olimpia Elbląg 12 18 21 -3 16
17 Troszyn 12 14 26 -12 10
18 Łomża 12 12 28 -16 3
III Liga - Gruppo 1 Polonia. III Liga - Gruppo 1 Pronostici