Swit vs Weszlo Statistics & Analysis

Swit

Sep 12, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.28

1 1.32

xG Accuracy: 64%

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Weszlo

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Weszlo Weszlo ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7432881

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Weszlo win · Swit 0–1 Weszlo

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: III Liga - Gruppo 1
Fixture: Swit vs Weszlo
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
xG (showing): Swit 1.28 — Weszlo 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

III Liga - Gruppo 1 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Weszlo	8	7	1	0	22
2	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	8	5	2	1	17
3	Wisła Płock II	8	4	3	1	15
4	Jagiellonia II	8	4	3	1	15
5	Widzew II	8	4	1	3	13
6	Wigry Suwałki	8	3	4	1	13
7	Warta Sieradz	8	4	1	3	13
8	Pelikan Łowicz	8	4	1	3	13
9	Ząbkovia Ząbki	8	4	1	3	13
10	Swit	8	3	2	3	11
11	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	8	3	1	4	10
12	Olimpia Zambrów	8	3	1	4	10
13	Olimpia Elbląg	8	3	1	4	10
14	ŁKS Łódź II	8	2	1	5	7
15	Troszyn	8	1	3	4	6
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	8	1	2	5	5
17	Mławianka Mława	8	1	1	6	4
18	Łomża	8	0	3	5	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki	8	23	13	+10	17
2	Weszlo	8	20	5	+15	22
3	Jagiellonia II	8	19	15	+4	15
4	Wisła Płock II	8	18	13	+5	15
5	Widzew II	8	17	11	+6	13
6	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	8	17	18	-1	10
7	Olimpia Zambrów	8	17	21	-4	10
8	Warta Sieradz	8	15	13	+2	13
9	Ząbkovia Ząbki	8	14	14	0	13
10	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	8	13	19	-6	5
11	Pelikan Łowicz	8	12	11	+1	13
12	Olimpia Elbląg	8	12	16	-4	10
13	ŁKS Łódź II	8	12	16	-4	7
14	Mławianka Mława	8	12	24	-12	4
15	Wigry Suwałki	8	10	7	+3	13
16	Swit	8	10	9	+1	11
17	Łomża	8	10	17	-7	3
18	Troszyn	8	10	19	-9	6