Statistiche / Calcio / Polonia. III Liga - Gruppo 3 / Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice

Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice Statistics & Analysis

Sep 26, 2026 - 10:00
0 1.35
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 56%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Miedź Legnica II Sparta Katowice ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 00:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10078466

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sparta Katowice win · Miedź Legnica II 0–2 Sparta Katowice
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: III Liga - Gruppo 3
  • Fixture: Miedź Legnica II vs Sparta Katowice
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Miedź Legnica II 1.35 — Sparta Katowice 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 41.0% · Probability edge: +10.8 pts · Est. EV: +19.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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III Liga - Gruppo 3 III Liga - Gruppo 3 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 24
2 Zagłębie Lubin II 11 6 5 0 23
3 Odra Bytom Odrzański 11 7 2 2 23
4 Barycz Sułów 11 6 2 3 20
5 Zagłębie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 19
6 Górnik Polkowice 12 5 3 4 18
7 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 17
8 Stilon Gorzów 12 4 4 4 16
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 11 4 3 4 15
10 Miedź Legnica II 11 4 2 5 14
11 Warta Gorzów 11 3 5 3 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 12
13 Stal Brzeg 11 3 2 6 11
14 Goczałkowice-Zdrój 11 3 2 6 11
15 Ślęza Wrocław 11 3 1 7 10
16 Raków II 9 2 3 4 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Miedź Legnica II 11 25 21 +4 14
2 Zagłębie Lubin II 11 23 13 +10 23
3 ROW Rybnik 11 23 18 +5 17
4 Górnik Polkowice 12 23 19 +4 18
5 Stilon Gorzów 12 20 19 +1 16
6 Sparta Katowice 11 19 7 +12 24
7 Barycz Sułów 11 18 13 +5 20
8 Stal Brzeg 11 18 17 +1 11
9 Ślęza Wrocław 11 17 26 -9 10
10 Zagłębie Sosnowiec 10 15 9 +6 19
11 Odra Bytom Odrzański 11 12 5 +7 23
12 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 11 12 9 +3 15
13 Raków II 9 12 17 -5 9
14 Polonia Nysa 11 12 24 -12 8
15 Goczałkowice-Zdrój 11 11 16 -5 11
16 Warta Gorzów 11 11 17 -6 14
17 Kluczbork 10 10 17 -7 12
18 Carina Gubin 11 8 22 -14 8