Polonia Nysa vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec Statistics & Analysis

Polonia Nysa

Sep 12, 2026 - 17:00

1 1.30

2 1.30

xG Accuracy: 76%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Polonia Nysa Zagłębie Sosnowiec ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7465627

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Zagłębie Sosnowiec win · Polonia Nysa 1–2 Zagłębie Sosnowiec

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: III Liga - Gruppo 3
Fixture: Polonia Nysa vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Polonia Nysa 1.3 — Zagłębie Sosnowiec 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

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Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

III Liga - Gruppo 3 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Zagłębie Lubin II	9	6	3	0	21
2	Sparta Katowice	9	6	2	1	20
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	9	6	2	1	20
4	Barycz Sułów	9	6	1	2	19
5	Zagłębie Sosnowiec	9	5	1	3	16
6	Górnik Polkowice	9	4	2	3	14
7	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	9	3	3	3	12
8	Kluczbork	9	4	0	5	12
9	Warta Gorzów	9	3	3	3	12
10	Miedź Legnica II	9	3	2	4	11
11	ROW Rybnik	9	3	2	4	11
12	Stal Brzeg	9	3	2	4	11
13	Goczałkowice-Zdrój	9	3	2	4	11
14	Stilon Gorzów	9	2	4	3	10
15	Raków II	9	2	3	4	9
16	Ślęza Wrocław	9	2	0	7	6
17	Polonia Nysa	9	1	2	6	5
18	Carina Gubin	9	1	2	6	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Miedź Legnica II	9	23	18	+5	11
2	Zagłębie Lubin II	9	19	9	+10	21
3	ROW Rybnik	9	18	15	+3	11
4	Górnik Polkowice	9	18	16	+2	14
5	Sparta Katowice	9	16	6	+10	20
6	Stal Brzeg	9	15	12	+3	11
7	Barycz Sułów	9	14	8	+6	19
8	Zagłębie Sosnowiec	9	14	9	+5	16
9	Stilon Gorzów	9	14	13	+1	10
10	Ślęza Wrocław	9	14	25	-11	6
11	Raków II	9	12	17	-5	9
12	Odra Bytom Odrzański	9	11	4	+7	20
13	Goczałkowice-Zdrój	9	11	13	-2	11
14	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	9	10	7	+3	12
15	Kluczbork	9	9	14	-5	12
16	Warta Gorzów	9	9	15	-6	12
17	Polonia Nysa	9	8	21	-13	5
18	Carina Gubin	9	6	19	-13	5