Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Sokół Kolbuszowa Statistics & Analysis

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

Sep 26, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.36

1 1.24

xG Accuracy: 64%

Sokół Kolbuszowa

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów Sokół Kolbuszowa ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10088678

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sokół Kolbuszowa win · Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 0–1 Sokół Kolbuszowa

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: III Liga - Gruppo 4
Fixture: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Sokół Kolbuszowa
Kickoff: 2026-09-26 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1.36 — Sokół Kolbuszowa 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

III Liga - Gruppo 4 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Chełmianka Chełm	11	8	3	0	27
2	KSZO 1929	12	6	5	1	23
3	Wisłoka Dębica	11	7	1	3	22
4	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	12	6	2	4	20
5	Naprzód	11	6	2	3	20
6	Czarni Połaniec	11	6	2	3	20
7	Jarosław	12	5	2	5	17
8	Wisła Kraków II	12	4	4	4	16
9	Korona Kielce II	12	4	2	6	14
10	Hetman Zamość	11	3	5	3	14
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	14
12	Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	14
13	Sokół Kolbuszowa	11	2	7	2	13
14	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	12	3	3	6	12
15	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	12	3	3	6	12
16	Star Starachowice	11	2	5	4	11
17	Moravia Morawica	11	2	2	7	8
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	12	2	2	8	8

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Jarosław	12	28	22	+6	17
2	Naprzód	11	27	21	+6	20
3	Korona Kielce II	12	27	27	0	14
4	KSZO 1929	12	21	9	+12	23
5	Hetman Zamość	11	20	20	0	14
6	Wiślanie Jaśkowice	12	19	12	+7	20
7	Chełmianka Chełm	11	18	5	+13	27
8	Czarni Połaniec	11	18	16	+2	20
9	Busko-Zdroj	12	17	26	-9	14
10	Wisłoka Dębica	11	16	13	+3	22
11	Wisła Kraków II	12	15	17	-2	16
12	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	15	19	-4	14
13	Star Starachowice	11	13	17	-4	11
14	Moravia Morawica	11	13	22	-9	8
15	Sokół Kolbuszowa	11	12	12	0	13
16	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	12	12	22	-10	8
17	KS Wieczysta Krakow II	12	11	15	-4	12
18	Podlasie Biała Podlaska	12	10	17	-7	12