Statistiche / Calcio / Lettonia. Coppa Lettonia / Mārupe vs Grobiņa

Mārupe vs Grobiņa Statistics & Analysis

Mārupe Mārupe
Jul 12, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.41
1 1.19
xG Accuracy: 64%
Grobiņa Grobiņa
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Mārupe Grobiņa ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 21:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1932847

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds 2.47
CLV Pending
Final Result Grobiņa win · Mārupe 0–1 Grobiņa
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Probability Calibration

  • Expected: 40.5%
  • Historical Bucket: 40–45% — Actual 0.0% (n=3)

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Coppa Lettonia
  • Fixture: Mārupe vs Grobiņa
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-12 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): Mārupe 1.41 — Grobiņa 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.7% · Probability edge: +11.1 pts · Est. EV: +21.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

Ottieni Previsioni Premium per Mārupe & Grobiņa!

Sblocca analisi approfondite, consigli esclusivi sulle scommesse e previsioni delle partite con il nostro servizio di abbonamento premium.

Iscriviti Ora
Torna alle Statistiche