Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Cearense U20 / Fortaleza U20 vs Vila Real FC U20

Fortaleza U20 vs Vila Real FC U20 Statistics & Analysis

Fortaleza U20 Fortaleza U20
Jul 04, 2026 - 18:30
2 1.57
2 1.03
xG Accuracy: 68%
⚽
Vila Real FC U20
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Fortaleza U20 Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 19:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1489437

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Fortaleza U20 2–2 Vila Real FC U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Cearense U20
  • Fixture: Fortaleza U20 vs Vila Real FC U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-04 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away 23.3%
  • xG (showing): Fortaleza U20 1.57 — Vila Real FC U20 1.03 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Cearense U20 Cearense U20 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Vila Real FC U20 5 2 3 0 9
2 Ceará U20 3 2 1 0 7
3 Pague Menos U20 4 1 3 0 6
4 Caucaia U20 6 1 2 3 5
5 Horizonte U20 4 1 1 2 4
6 Anjos do Céu U20 3 1 0 2 3
7 Tiangua CE U20 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Vila Real FC U20 5 11 3 +8 9
2 Pague Menos U20 4 10 2 +8 6
3 Ceará U20 3 5 3 +2 7
4 Horizonte U20 4 5 8 -3 4
5 Caucaia U20 6 3 5 -2 5
6 Anjos do Céu U20 3 3 8 -5 3
7 Tiangua CE U20 4 1 5 -4 0
Cearense U20 Brasile. Cearense U20 Pronostici