Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Cearense U20 / Tiangua CE U20 vs Fortaleza U20

Tiangua CE U20 vs Fortaleza U20 Statistics & Analysis

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Tiangua CE U20
Jul 11, 2026 - 18:30
0 1.07
3 1.53
xG Accuracy: 50%
Fortaleza U20 Fortaleza U20
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Fortaleza U20 Fortaleza U20 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 19:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3072318

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Fortaleza U20 win · Tiangua CE U20 0–3 Fortaleza U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Cearense U20
  • Fixture: Tiangua CE U20 vs Fortaleza U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-11 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 24.9% · Draw 28.7% · Away 46.3%
  • xG (showing): Tiangua CE U20 1.07 — Fortaleza U20 1.53 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.0% · No 46.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.0% · No 46.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Cearense U20 Cearense U20 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Vila Real FC U20 5 2 3 0 9
2 Ceará U20 3 2 1 0 7
3 Pague Menos U20 4 1 3 0 6
4 Caucaia U20 6 1 2 3 5
5 Horizonte U20 4 1 1 2 4
6 Anjos do Céu U20 3 1 0 2 3
7 Tiangua CE U20 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Vila Real FC U20 5 11 3 +8 9
2 Pague Menos U20 4 10 2 +8 6
3 Ceará U20 3 5 3 +2 7
4 Horizonte U20 4 5 8 -3 4
5 Caucaia U20 6 3 5 -2 5
6 Anjos do Céu U20 3 3 8 -5 3
7 Tiangua CE U20 4 1 5 -4 0
Cearense U20 Brasile. Cearense U20 Pronostici