Queen's University vs Ballinamallard United Statistics & Analysis

Queen's University

Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00

0 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 64%

Ballinamallard United

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Queen's University Ballinamallard United ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13226867

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ballinamallard United win · Queen's University 0–1 Ballinamallard United

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Championship Irlanda del Nord
Fixture: Queen's University vs Ballinamallard United
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Queen's University 1.35 — Ballinamallard United 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Championship Irlanda del Nord — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Annagh United	10	6	3	1	21
2	Glenavon FC	10	6	2	2	20
3	Newington Youth	10	6	2	2	20
4	Queen's University	10	6	1	3	19
5	Institute FC	10	5	1	4	16
6	H&W Welders	10	5	0	5	15
7	Newry City AFC	10	4	3	3	15
8	Warrenpoint Town	10	4	2	4	14
9	Ballinamallard United	10	4	2	4	14
10	Loughgall	10	3	4	3	13
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	11
13	Moyola Park	10	3	2	5	11
14	Strabane Athletic	10	2	3	5	9
15	Rathfriland	10	2	0	8	6
16	Armagh City	10	0	5	5	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Glenavon FC	10	25	13	+12	20
2	Annagh United	10	24	13	+11	21
3	Newington Youth	10	24	18	+6	20
4	Queen's University	10	20	7	+13	19
5	Institute FC	10	20	17	+3	16
6	Warrenpoint Town	10	18	15	+3	14
7	H&W Welders	10	18	16	+2	15
8	Dundela	10	18	20	-2	11
9	Ballinamallard United	10	16	16	0	14
10	Newry City AFC	10	16	18	-2	15
11	Loughgall	10	14	19	-5	13
12	Ards	10	12	13	-1	12
13	Strabane Athletic	10	10	19	-9	9
14	Moyola Park	10	10	20	-10	11
15	Rathfriland	10	9	22	-13	6
16	Armagh City	10	8	16	-8	5