Statistiche / Calcio / Irlanda del Nord. Championship Irlanda del Nord / Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders

Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders Statistics & Analysis

Newry City AFC Newry City AFC
Sep 25, 2026 - 18:45
3 1.17
2 1.43
xG Accuracy: 52%
H&W Welders H&W Welders
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 H&W Welders Newry City AFC ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 19, 2026 · 01:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9577079

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Newry City AFC win · Newry City AFC 3–2 H&W Welders
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Championship Irlanda del Nord
  • Fixture: Newry City AFC vs H&W Welders
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-25 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
  • xG (showing): Newry City AFC 1.17 — H&W Welders 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.0% · Probability edge: +14.8 pts · Est. EV: +32.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Championship Irlanda del Nord Championship Irlanda del Nord — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Annagh United 10 6 3 1 21
2 Glenavon FC 10 6 2 2 20
3 Newington Youth 10 6 2 2 20
4 Queen's University 10 6 1 3 19
5 Institute FC 10 5 1 4 16
6 H&W Welders 10 5 0 5 15
7 Newry City AFC 10 4 3 3 15
8 Warrenpoint Town 10 4 2 4 14
9 Ballinamallard United 10 4 2 4 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 11
13 Moyola Park 10 3 2 5 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 9
15 Rathfriland 10 2 0 8 6
16 Armagh City 10 0 5 5 5
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Glenavon FC 10 25 13 +12 20
2 Annagh United 10 24 13 +11 21
3 Newington Youth 10 24 18 +6 20
4 Queen's University 10 20 7 +13 19
5 Institute FC 10 20 17 +3 16
6 Warrenpoint Town 10 18 15 +3 14
7 H&W Welders 10 18 16 +2 15
8 Dundela 10 18 20 -2 11
9 Ballinamallard United 10 16 16 0 14
10 Newry City AFC 10 16 18 -2 15
11 Loughgall 10 14 19 -5 13
12 Ards 10 12 13 -1 12
13 Strabane Athletic 10 10 19 -9 9
14 Moyola Park 10 10 20 -10 11
15 Rathfriland 10 9 22 -13 6
16 Armagh City 10 8 16 -8 5
Championship Irlanda del Nord Irlanda del Nord. Championship Irlanda del Nord Pronostici