Armagh City vs Institute FC Statistics & Analysis

Armagh City

Sep 12, 2026 - 14:00

3 1.00

5 1.60

xG Accuracy: 23%

Institute FC

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Institute FC Institute FC ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-0 3-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7442994

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Institute FC win · Armagh City 3–5 Institute FC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Championship Irlanda del Nord
Fixture: Armagh City vs Institute FC
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 22.1% · Draw 28.1% · Away 49.8%
xG (showing): Armagh City 1.0 — Institute FC 1.6 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.0% · No 48.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 52.0% · No 48.0%
Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (11.9%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Championship Irlanda del Nord — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Glenavon FC	9	5	2	2	17
2	Newington Youth	8	5	2	1	17
3	Annagh United	8	5	2	1	17
4	Queen's University	8	5	1	2	16
5	H&W Welders	9	5	0	4	15
6	Newry City AFC	9	4	3	2	15
7	Ballinamallard United	8	4	1	3	13
8	Warrenpoint Town	9	4	1	4	13
9	Institute FC	8	4	1	3	13
10	Ards	8	3	2	3	11
11	Loughgall	9	2	4	3	10
12	Dundela	8	1	5	2	8
13	Moyola Park	8	2	2	4	8
14	Strabane Athletic	8	1	2	5	5
15	Armagh City	8	0	4	4	4
16	Rathfriland	9	1	0	8	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Glenavon FC	9	22	13	+9	17
2	Newington Youth	8	20	11	+9	17
3	Queen's University	8	18	6	+12	16
4	Annagh United	8	18	12	+6	17
5	H&W Welders	9	17	13	+4	15
6	Warrenpoint Town	9	17	14	+3	13
7	Dundela	8	16	18	-2	8
8	Ballinamallard United	8	15	11	+4	13
9	Newry City AFC	9	15	16	-1	15
10	Institute FC	8	13	12	+1	13
11	Loughgall	9	12	18	-6	10
12	Ards	8	11	11	0	11
13	Moyola Park	8	9	17	-8	8
14	Strabane Athletic	8	9	19	-10	5
15	Armagh City	8	8	14	-6	4
16	Rathfriland	9	6	21	-15	3