Statistiche / Calcio / Irlanda del Nord. Championship Irlanda del Nord / Institute FC vs Newry City AFC

Institute FC vs Newry City AFC Statistics & Analysis

Institute FC Institute FC
Aug 29, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.50
3 1.10
xG Accuracy: 52%
Newry City AFC Newry City AFC
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Institute FC Newry City AFC ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5139384

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Newry City AFC win · Institute FC 1–3 Newry City AFC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Championship Irlanda del Nord
  • Fixture: Institute FC vs Newry City AFC
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 44.8% · Draw 29.0% · Away 26.2%
  • xG (showing): Institute FC 1.5 — Newry City AFC 1.1 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 39.1% · Probability edge: +12.7 pts · Est. EV: +23.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.4% · No 46.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Championship Irlanda del Nord Championship Irlanda del Nord — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Glenavon FC 9 5 2 2 17
2 Newington Youth 8 5 2 1 17
3 Annagh United 8 5 2 1 17
4 Queen's University 8 5 1 2 16
5 H&W Welders 9 5 0 4 15
6 Newry City AFC 9 4 3 2 15
7 Ballinamallard United 8 4 1 3 13
8 Warrenpoint Town 9 4 1 4 13
9 Institute FC 8 4 1 3 13
10 Ards 8 3 2 3 11
11 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 10
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 8
13 Moyola Park 8 2 2 4 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 5
15 Armagh City 8 0 4 4 4
16 Rathfriland 9 1 0 8 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Glenavon FC 9 22 13 +9 17
2 Newington Youth 8 20 11 +9 17
3 Queen's University 8 18 6 +12 16
4 Annagh United 8 18 12 +6 17
5 H&W Welders 9 17 13 +4 15
6 Warrenpoint Town 9 17 14 +3 13
7 Dundela 8 16 18 -2 8
8 Ballinamallard United 8 15 11 +4 13
9 Newry City AFC 9 15 16 -1 15
10 Institute FC 8 13 12 +1 13
11 Loughgall 9 12 18 -6 10
12 Ards 8 11 11 0 11
13 Moyola Park 8 9 17 -8 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 9 19 -10 5
15 Armagh City 8 8 14 -6 4
16 Rathfriland 9 6 21 -15 3
Championship Irlanda del Nord Irlanda del Nord. Championship Irlanda del Nord Pronostici