Moyola Park vs Ballinamallard United Statistics & Analysis

Moyola Park

Aug 15, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.38

0 1.22

xG Accuracy: 60%

Ballinamallard United

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Moyola Park Moyola Park ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 02:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3353051

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Moyola Park win · Moyola Park 2–0 Ballinamallard United

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Championship Irlanda del Nord
Fixture: Moyola Park vs Ballinamallard United
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
xG (showing): Moyola Park 1.38 — Ballinamallard United 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Championship Irlanda del Nord — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Newington Youth	6	5	1	0	16
2	H&W Welders	6	5	0	1	15
3	Queen's University	6	4	1	1	13
4	Annagh United	6	4	1	1	13
5	Glenavon FC	6	3	1	2	10
6	Newry City AFC	6	3	1	2	10
7	Ballinamallard United	6	3	0	3	9
8	Loughgall	6	2	3	1	9
9	Ards	6	2	1	3	7
10	Warrenpoint Town	6	2	1	3	7
11	Institute FC	6	2	1	3	7
12	Moyola Park	6	2	1	3	7
13	Dundela	6	1	3	2	6
14	Armagh City	6	0	3	3	3
15	Strabane Athletic	6	1	0	5	3
16	Rathfriland	6	0	0	6	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Queen's University	6	17	5	+12	13
2	Glenavon FC	6	16	11	+5	10
3	Newington Youth	6	15	5	+10	16
4	Annagh United	6	14	10	+4	13
5	H&W Welders	6	13	4	+9	15
6	Ballinamallard United	6	11	9	+2	9
7	Loughgall	6	11	13	-2	9
8	Ards	6	10	11	-1	7
9	Dundela	6	10	12	-2	6
10	Warrenpoint Town	6	9	10	-1	7
11	Newry City AFC	6	9	11	-2	10
12	Moyola Park	6	7	11	-4	7
13	Institute FC	6	6	9	-3	7
14	Strabane Athletic	6	6	16	-10	3
15	Armagh City	6	5	9	-4	3
16	Rathfriland	6	5	18	-13	0