Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. League One / Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion

Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion Statistics & Analysis

Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.34
0 0.98
xG Accuracy: 70%
Burton Albion Burton Albion
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13226352

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Doncaster Rovers win · Doncaster Rovers 1–0 Burton Albion
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: League One
  • Fixture: Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.3% · Draw 31.0% · Away 25.7%
  • xG (showing): Doncaster Rovers 1.34 — Burton Albion 0.98 (total xG ≈ 2.32)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 59.1% · Implied: 48.3% · Probability edge: +10.8 pts · Est. EV: +18.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 18, 2026 (UTC)

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League One League One — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Bradford City 7 5 0 2 15
2 Sheffield Wednesday 7 4 2 1 14
3 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 13
4 Plymouth Argyle 8 4 1 3 13
5 Cambridge United 8 3 4 1 13
6 Huddersfield Town 7 3 3 1 12
7 Burton Albion 8 3 3 2 12
8 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 12
9 Reading 7 3 2 2 11
10 Oxford United 6 3 2 1 11
11 Leyton Orient 7 3 1 3 10
12 Wycombe Wanderers 8 2 4 2 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 9
14 Leicester City 7 2 3 2 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 8
16 Luton Town 7 2 2 3 8
17 Mansfield Town 7 2 2 3 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7
21 Doncaster Rovers 7 1 3 3 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 6
23 Peterborough United 8 1 2 5 5
24 Wigan Athletic 7 1 1 5 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Stockport County 8 17 10 +7 13
2 Reading 7 16 9 +7 11
3 Plymouth Argyle 8 14 11 +3 13
4 Sheffield Wednesday 7 13 6 +7 14
5 Oxford United 6 13 7 +6 11
6 Leyton Orient 7 13 9 +4 10
7 Cambridge United 8 13 11 +2 13
8 Burton Albion 8 13 12 +1 12
9 Blackpool 7 13 13 0 8
10 Wycombe Wanderers 8 13 16 -3 10
11 Luton Town 7 12 14 -2 8
12 Huddersfield Town 7 11 6 +5 12
13 Stevenage 7 11 8 +3 9
14 Mansfield Town 7 10 13 -3 8
15 Leicester City 7 9 11 -2 9
16 Doncaster Rovers 7 8 9 -1 6
17 Milton Keynes Dons 7 8 10 -2 6
18 Bromley 7 8 18 -10 8
19 Bradford City 7 7 4 +3 15
20 Notts County 7 7 9 -2 7
21 Barnsley 7 7 12 -5 8
22 AFC Wimbledon 8 6 8 -2 12
23 Wigan Athletic 7 5 12 -7 4
24 Peterborough United 8 4 13 -9 5
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Sheffield Wednesday 7 13.1 5.8 +7.3 14
2 Reading 7 11.0 5.3 +5.7 11
3 Huddersfield Town 7 9.7 5.4 +4.3 12
4 Stockport County 8 10.5 7.3 +3.2 13
5 Mansfield Town 7 11.0 8.4 +2.6 8
6 Luton Town 7 10.8 8.5 +2.3 8
7 Leicester City 7 7.7 5.7 +2.0 9
8 Notts County 7 6.5 5.4 +1.1 7
9 Bradford City 7 6.1 5.0 +1.1 15
10 Wigan Athletic 7 8.3 7.7 +0.6 4
11 Wycombe Wanderers 8 8.0 7.5 +0.5 10
12 Cambridge United 8 7.8 7.5 +0.3 13
13 Stevenage 7 5.2 4.9 +0.3 9
14 Barnsley 7 9.3 9.6 -0.3 8
15 Doncaster Rovers 7 4.4 4.8 -0.4 6
16 Peterborough United 8 8.4 9.0 -0.6 5
17 Blackpool 7 10.3 12.4 -2.1 8
18 Oxford United 6 4.5 6.9 -2.4 11
19 Leyton Orient 7 5.7 8.2 -2.5 10
20 Plymouth Argyle 8 6.0 8.8 -2.8 13
21 Burton Albion 8 4.6 8.6 -4.0 12
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 6.0 10.5 -4.5 6
23 AFC Wimbledon 8 4.3 10.1 -5.8 12
24 Bromley 7 4.4 10.4 -6.0 8
League One Inghilterra. League One Pronostici