Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. League Two / Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town Statistics & Analysis

Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.63
0 1.67
xG Accuracy: 57%
Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Cheltenham Town Accrington Stanley ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11240466

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Accrington Stanley win · Accrington Stanley 2–0 Cheltenham Town
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: League Two
  • Fixture: Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.4% · Draw 25.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Accrington Stanley 1.63 — Cheltenham Town 1.67 (total xG ≈ 3.3)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 64.1% · Implied: 52.5% · Probability edge: +11.6 pts · Est. EV: +17.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 66.6% · No 33.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.0%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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League Two League Two — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 15
2 Cheltenham Town 8 4 3 1 15
3 Bristol Rovers 8 5 0 3 15
4 York City 8 4 2 2 14
5 Walsall 8 3 5 0 14
6 Grimsby Town 8 3 4 1 13
7 Salford City 8 4 1 3 13
8 Gillingham 8 3 3 2 12
9 Crewe Alexandra 8 2 6 0 12
10 Tranmere Rovers 8 2 5 1 11
11 Chesterfield 8 3 2 3 11
12 Swindon Town 8 3 2 3 11
13 Rotherham United 8 2 4 2 10
14 Fleetwood Town 8 2 4 2 10
15 Colchester United 8 2 4 2 10
16 Rochdale 8 3 1 4 10
17 Newport County 8 2 3 3 9
18 Shrewsbury Town 8 2 2 4 8
19 Accrington Stanley 8 1 4 3 7
20 Oldham Athletic 8 2 1 5 7
21 Exeter City 8 1 3 4 6
22 Northampton Town 7 1 3 3 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Barnet 7 17 10 +7 15
2 York City 8 16 10 +6 14
3 Cheltenham Town 8 16 12 +4 15
4 Bristol Rovers 8 13 11 +2 15
5 Grimsby Town 8 12 8 +4 13
6 Salford City 8 12 10 +2 13
7 Newport County 8 12 12 0 9
8 Walsall 8 11 5 +6 14
9 Gillingham 8 11 9 +2 12
10 Chesterfield 8 11 10 +1 11
11 Rotherham United 8 11 11 0 10
12 Accrington Stanley 8 11 14 -3 7
13 Tranmere Rovers 8 10 8 +2 11
14 Colchester United 8 10 12 -2 10
15 Fleetwood Town 8 9 9 0 10
16 Rochdale 8 9 11 -2 10
17 Swindon Town 8 9 12 -3 11
18 Oldham Athletic 8 9 13 -4 7
19 Crewe Alexandra 8 8 6 +2 12
20 Shrewsbury Town 8 7 13 -6 8
21 Crawley Town 7 6 13 -7 4
22 Exeter City 8 4 6 -2 6
23 Northampton Town 7 3 6 -3 6
24 Port Vale 7 3 9 -6 5
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Accrington Stanley 8 3.0 0.5 +2.5 7
2 Walsall 8 3.5 1.8 +1.7 14
3 Rotherham United 8 2.2 0.7 +1.5 10
4 Northampton Town 7 1.6 0.3 +1.3 6
5 Barnet 7 2.8 1.8 +1.0 15
6 Shrewsbury Town 8 2.1 1.2 +0.9 8
7 Crewe Alexandra 8 1.7 0.8 +0.9 12
8 Grimsby Town 8 1.9 1.1 +0.8 13
9 Oldham Athletic 8 1.5 0.9 +0.6 7
10 Bristol Rovers 8 2.0 1.6 +0.4 15
11 Fleetwood Town 8 1.9 1.5 +0.4 10
12 York City 8 1.6 2.0 -0.4 14
13 Chesterfield 8 1.5 1.9 -0.4 11
14 Port Vale 7 0.9 1.5 -0.6 5
15 Exeter City 8 1.1 1.9 -0.8 6
16 Tranmere Rovers 8 1.2 2.1 -0.9 11
17 Crawley Town 7 0.8 1.7 -0.9 4
18 Salford City 8 1.8 2.8 -1.0 13
19 Swindon Town 8 0.3 1.6 -1.3 11
20 Cheltenham Town 8 0.7 2.2 -1.5 15
21 Gillingham 8 1.8 3.5 -1.7 12
22 Colchester United 8 0.5 3.0 -2.5 10
23 Rochdale 8 — — — 10
24 Newport County 8 — — — 9
League Two Inghilterra. League Two Pronostici