Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. League Two / Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers

Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers Statistics & Analysis

Aug 29, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.50
2 1.80
xG Accuracy: 63%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5139012

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Bristol Rovers win · Crawley Town 0–2 Bristol Rovers
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: League Two
  • Fixture: Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 25.4% · Away 43.6%
  • xG (showing): Crawley Town 1.5 — Bristol Rovers 1.8 (total xG ≈ 3.3)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 64.1% · Implied: 53.6% · Probability edge: +10.5 pts · Est. EV: +25.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 66.1% · No 33.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.0%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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League Two League TwoClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Bristol Rovers 5 4 0 1 12
2 Swindon Town 5 3 1 1 10
3 Barnet 5 2 3 0 9
4 Tranmere Rovers 5 2 3 0 9
5 Walsall 5 2 3 0 9
6 Fleetwood Town 5 2 3 0 9
7 Crewe Alexandra 5 2 3 0 9
8 Cheltenham Town 5 2 2 1 8
9 York City 5 2 2 1 8
10 Oldham Athletic 5 2 1 2 7
11 Grimsby Town 5 1 4 0 7
12 Colchester United 5 2 1 2 7
13 Gillingham 5 1 3 1 6
14 Northampton Town 5 1 3 1 6
15 Salford City 5 2 0 3 6
16 Exeter City 5 1 2 2 5
17 Chesterfield 5 1 2 2 5
18 Rotherham United 5 1 2 2 5
19 Accrington Stanley 5 1 2 2 5
20 Newport County 5 1 1 3 4
21 Crawley Town 5 1 1 3 4
22 Rochdale 5 1 0 4 3
23 Shrewsbury Town 5 1 0 4 3
24 Port Vale 5 0 2 3 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bristol Rovers 5 12 6 +6 12
2 Barnet 5 12 8 +4 9
3 Cheltenham Town 5 10 9 +1 8
4 Tranmere Rovers 5 9 5 +4 9
5 York City 5 9 8 +1 8
6 Newport County 5 9 10 -1 4
7 Accrington Stanley 5 9 11 -2 5
8 Walsall 5 8 4 +4 9
9 Swindon Town 5 8 6 +2 10
10 Oldham Athletic 5 7 5 +2 7
11 Grimsby Town 5 7 6 +1 7
12 Fleetwood Town 5 6 3 +3 9
13 Gillingham 5 6 6 0 6
14 Chesterfield 5 6 7 -1 5
15 Rotherham United 5 6 7 -1 5
16 Colchester United 5 6 8 -2 7
17 Crewe Alexandra 5 5 3 +2 9
18 Crawley Town 5 5 8 -3 4
19 Rochdale 5 5 10 -5 3
20 Exeter City 5 4 4 0 5
21 Salford City 5 4 6 -2 6
22 Northampton Town 5 3 3 0 6
23 Port Vale 5 2 7 -5 2
24 Shrewsbury Town 5 2 10 -8 3
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Accrington Stanley 5 3.0 0.5 +2.5 5
2 Walsall 5 3.5 1.8 +1.7 9
3 Rotherham United 5 2.2 0.7 +1.5 5
4 Northampton Town 5 1.6 0.3 +1.3 6
5 Barnet 5 2.8 1.8 +1.0 9
6 Shrewsbury Town 5 2.1 1.2 +0.9 3
7 Crewe Alexandra 5 1.7 0.8 +0.9 9
8 Grimsby Town 5 1.9 1.1 +0.8 7
9 Oldham Athletic 5 1.5 0.9 +0.6 7
10 Bristol Rovers 5 2.0 1.6 +0.4 12
11 Fleetwood Town 5 1.9 1.5 +0.4 9
12 York City 5 1.6 2.0 -0.4 8
13 Chesterfield 5 1.5 1.9 -0.4 5
14 Port Vale 5 0.9 1.5 -0.6 2
15 Exeter City 5 1.1 1.9 -0.8 5
16 Tranmere Rovers 5 1.2 2.1 -0.9 9
17 Crawley Town 5 0.8 1.7 -0.9 4
18 Salford City 5 1.8 2.8 -1.0 6
19 Swindon Town 5 0.3 1.6 -1.3 10
20 Cheltenham Town 5 0.7 2.2 -1.5 8
21 Gillingham 5 1.8 3.5 -1.7 6
22 Colchester United 5 0.5 3.0 -2.5 7
23 Newport County 5 4
24 Rochdale 5 3