Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. Championship / Bristol City vs Portsmouth

Bristol City vs Portsmouth Statistics & Analysis

Bristol City Bristol City
Aug 29, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.37
1 1.40
xG Accuracy: 75%
Portsmouth Portsmouth
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Bristol City Bristol City ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5138889

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bristol City win · Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Championship
  • Fixture: Bristol City vs Portsmouth
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.9% · Draw 28.5% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Bristol City 1.37 — Portsmouth 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.77)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 52.3% · Implied: 46.8% · Probability edge: +5.6 pts · Est. EV: +9.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Championship Championship — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 West Ham United 7 4 2 1 14
2 Swansea City 7 4 2 1 14
3 Middlesbrough 7 4 2 1 14
4 West Bromwich Albion 7 4 2 1 14
5 Queens Park Rangers 7 3 3 1 12
6 Charlton Athletic 7 3 3 1 12
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 3 2 1 11
8 Lincoln City 7 3 2 2 11
9 Southampton 7 4 2 1 10
10 Birmingham City 7 2 4 1 10
11 Millwall 7 3 1 3 10
12 Stoke City 7 3 1 3 10
13 Bristol City 7 3 1 3 10
14 Norwich City 7 3 0 4 9
15 Sheffield United 7 2 3 2 9
16 Blackburn Rovers 7 2 2 3 8
17 Watford 7 2 2 3 8
18 Portsmouth 6 2 1 3 7
19 Wrexham 7 1 4 2 7
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 2 1 4 7
21 Cardiff City 7 0 4 3 4
22 Derby County 7 1 1 5 4
23 Preston North End 7 1 0 6 3
24 Burnley 7 0 3 4 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 West Ham United 7 20 9 +11 14
2 Southampton 7 18 8 +10 10
3 Middlesbrough 7 14 10 +4 14
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 14 10 +4 11
5 Millwall 7 13 13 0 10
6 Norwich City 7 13 13 0 9
7 Swansea City 7 11 5 +6 14
8 Stoke City 7 11 11 0 10
9 West Bromwich Albion 7 10 7 +3 14
10 Birmingham City 7 10 9 +1 10
11 Blackburn Rovers 7 10 10 0 8
12 Bristol City 7 10 12 -2 10
13 Queens Park Rangers 7 8 5 +3 12
14 Sheffield United 7 8 9 -1 9
15 Burnley 7 8 16 -8 3
16 Portsmouth 6 7 8 -1 7
17 Watford 7 7 9 -2 8
18 Wrexham 7 7 11 -4 7
19 Cardiff City 7 7 11 -4 4
20 Bolton Wanderers 7 7 12 -5 7
21 Lincoln City 7 6 6 0 11
22 Charlton Athletic 7 6 7 -1 12
23 Derby County 7 6 13 -7 4
24 Preston North End 7 6 13 -7 3
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Southampton 7 7.2 2.6 +4.6 10
2 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6 8.2 3.8 +4.4 11
3 Queens Park Rangers 7 8.5 4.2 +4.3 12
4 Middlesbrough 7 7.3 3.6 +3.7 14
5 Wrexham 7 5.4 3.5 +1.9 7
6 Swansea City 7 4.6 3.0 +1.6 14
7 Birmingham City 7 7.5 6.2 +1.3 10
8 Millwall 7 6.9 5.7 +1.2 10
9 West Ham United 7 4.9 4.0 +0.9 14
10 Norwich City 7 6.8 6.6 +0.2 9
11 Sheffield United 7 3.6 3.6 0.0 9
12 Portsmouth 6 4.5 4.9 -0.4 7
13 Lincoln City 7 4.0 4.9 -0.9 11
14 Cardiff City 7 5.8 6.8 -1.0 4
15 Bolton Wanderers 7 2.8 3.8 -1.0 7
16 Preston North End 7 2.4 3.5 -1.1 3
17 Burnley 7 4.8 6.0 -1.2 3
18 Watford 7 2.6 4.0 -1.4 8
19 Blackburn Rovers 7 2.8 4.7 -1.9 8
20 Derby County 7 4.5 6.8 -2.3 4
21 West Bromwich Albion 7 5.4 8.0 -2.6 14
22 Charlton Athletic 7 3.4 6.5 -3.1 12
23 Stoke City 7 2.2 5.6 -3.4 10
24 Bristol City 7 2.5 6.4 -3.9 10
Championship Inghilterra. Championship Pronostici