Vykan vs Kolín Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 08:15
2 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Vykan Kolín ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 00:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8654746

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kolín win · Vykan 2–3 Kolín
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie C Ceca
  • Fixture: Vykan vs Kolín
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 08:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Vykan 1.32 — Kolín 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie C Ceca 4. liga - Divizie C Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Vysoké Mýto 8 6 2 0 20
2 Kosmonosy 8 6 1 1 19
3 Přepeře 7 6 0 1 18
4 Ústí nad Orlicí 8 5 2 1 17
5 Hlinsko 8 4 1 3 13
6 Chlumec nad Cidlinou 8 4 1 3 13
7 Kolín 7 3 3 1 12
8 Turnov 7 3 1 3 10
9 Vykan 8 3 1 4 10
10 Trutnov 7 3 1 3 10
11 Slavia Hradec Králové 8 3 1 4 10
12 Spartak Police nad Metují 8 3 0 5 9
13 Dvůr Králové 7 2 1 4 7
14 Svitavy 7 1 2 4 5
15 Chrudim II 8 0 1 7 1
16 Letohrad 8 0 0 8 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Vysoké Mýto 8 27 14 +13 20
2 Kosmonosy 8 26 12 +14 19
3 Přepeře 7 24 8 +16 18
4 Ústí nad Orlicí 8 18 7 +11 17
5 Turnov 7 17 14 +3 10
6 Vykan 8 17 14 +3 10
7 Hlinsko 8 16 14 +2 13
8 Chlumec nad Cidlinou 8 14 13 +1 13
9 Slavia Hradec Králové 8 14 18 -4 10
10 Kolín 7 13 12 +1 12
11 Trutnov 7 12 10 +2 10
12 Spartak Police nad Metují 8 12 18 -6 9
13 Chrudim II 8 11 35 -24 1
14 Letohrad 8 10 31 -21 0
15 Dvůr Králové 7 8 11 -3 7
16 Svitavy 7 6 14 -8 5