Statistiche / Calcio / Repubblica Ceca. 4. liga - Divizie C Ceca / Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kolín

Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kolín Statistics & Analysis

Ústí nad Orlicí Ústí nad Orlicí
Oct 04, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
Kolín Kolín
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Ústí nad Orlicí Ústí nad Orlicí ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11676576

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ústí nad Orlicí win · Ústí nad Orlicí 2–1 Kolín
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie C Ceca
  • Fixture: Ústí nad Orlicí vs Kolín
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Ústí nad Orlicí 1.32 — Kolín 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie C Ceca 4. liga - Divizie C Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Vysoké Mýto 9 7 2 0 23
2 Kosmonosy 9 7 1 1 22
3 Přepeře 9 7 0 2 21
4 Ústí nad Orlicí 9 6 2 1 20
5 Turnov 9 5 1 3 16
6 Trutnov 9 5 1 3 16
7 Chlumec nad Cidlinou 9 5 1 3 16
8 Hlinsko 9 4 1 4 13
9 Kolín 9 3 3 3 12
10 Spartak Police nad Metují 9 4 0 5 12
11 Vykan 9 3 1 5 10
12 Dvůr Králové 9 3 1 5 10
13 Slavia Hradec Králové 9 3 1 5 10
14 Svitavy 9 1 2 6 5
15 Chrudim II 9 0 1 8 1
16 Letohrad 9 0 0 9 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Vysoké Mýto 9 29 14 +15 23
2 Kosmonosy 9 28 13 +15 22
3 Přepeře 9 27 10 +17 21
4 Turnov 9 23 16 +7 16
5 Ústí nad Orlicí 9 20 8 +12 20
6 Vykan 9 18 16 +2 10
7 Trutnov 9 17 12 +5 16
8 Chlumec nad Cidlinou 9 16 13 +3 16
9 Hlinsko 9 16 16 0 13
10 Spartak Police nad Metují 9 16 18 -2 12
11 Kolín 9 15 16 -1 12
12 Slavia Hradec Králové 9 15 20 -5 10
13 Chrudim II 9 12 39 -27 1
14 Letohrad 9 10 35 -25 0
15 Dvůr Králové 9 9 13 -4 10
16 Svitavy 9 8 20 -12 5
4. liga - Divizie C Ceca Repubblica Ceca. 4. liga - Divizie C Ceca Pronostici