Štětí vs Rapid Psáry Statistics & Analysis

Aug 22, 2026 - 08:15
1 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Rapid Psáry Štětí ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 01:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4211118

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Štětí win · Štětí 1–0 Rapid Psáry
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie B Ceca
  • Fixture: Štětí vs Rapid Psáry
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 08:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Štětí 1.29 — Rapid Psáry 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie B Ceca 4. liga - Divizie B CecaClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sokol Hostouň 6 5 0 1 15
2 Chomutov 6 5 0 1 15
3 Slovan Velvary 6 4 1 1 13
4 Baník Sokolov 5 4 0 1 12
5 Újezd Praha 4 6 3 1 2 10
6 Rapid Psáry 6 3 0 3 9
7 Karlovy Vary 6 3 0 3 9
8 Slaný 6 2 2 2 8
9 Tempo Praha 6 2 1 3 7
10 Slavoj Vyšehrad 6 2 1 3 7
11 Brandýs nad Labem 5 2 0 3 6
12 Hvězda Cheb 6 2 0 4 6
13 Ostrov 5 1 1 3 4
14 Ústí nad Labem II 6 1 1 4 4
15 Štětí 5 1 0 4 3
16 Meteor Praha 4 1 0 3 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Sokol Hostouň 6 20 6 +14 15
2 Baník Sokolov 5 16 4 +12 12
3 Slaný 6 16 8 +8 8
4 Karlovy Vary 6 16 14 +2 9
5 Chomutov 6 14 4 +10 15
6 Brandýs nad Labem 5 14 15 -1 6
7 Rapid Psáry 6 12 7 +5 9
8 Slovan Velvary 6 12 10 +2 13
9 Újezd Praha 4 6 12 11 +1 10
10 Slavoj Vyšehrad 6 11 18 -7 7
11 Hvězda Cheb 6 11 20 -9 6
12 Tempo Praha 6 9 10 -1 7
13 Ostrov 5 9 15 -6 4
14 Ústí nad Labem II 6 6 21 -15 4
15 Štětí 5 5 12 -7 3
16 Meteor Praha 4 2 10 -8 3