Slovan Velvary vs Slaný Statistics & Analysis

Aug 15, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 85%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Slovan Velvary Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 02:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3358633

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Slovan Velvary 1–1 Slaný
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie B Ceca
  • Fixture: Slovan Velvary vs Slaný
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Slovan Velvary 1.32 — Slaný 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie B Ceca 4. liga - Divizie B Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sokol Hostouň 8 7 0 1 21
2 Chomutov 8 7 0 1 21
3 Baník Sokolov 8 5 0 3 15
4 Rapid Psáry 8 5 0 3 15
5 Újezd Praha 4 8 4 2 2 14
6 Slovan Velvary 8 4 1 3 13
7 Karlovy Vary 8 4 0 4 12
8 Brandýs nad Labem 8 4 0 4 12
9 Tempo Praha 8 3 1 4 10
10 Štětí 8 3 1 4 10
11 Slaný 8 2 2 4 8
12 Meteor Praha 7 2 1 4 7
13 Ostrov 8 2 1 5 7
14 Slavoj Vyšehrad 8 2 1 5 7
15 Hvězda Cheb 7 2 0 5 6
16 Ústí nad Labem II 8 1 2 5 5
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Sokol Hostouň 8 27 8 +19 21
2 Brandýs nad Labem 8 20 19 +1 12
3 Chomutov 8 18 5 +13 21
4 Baník Sokolov 8 18 8 +10 15
5 Rapid Psáry 8 18 10 +8 15
6 Karlovy Vary 8 18 15 +3 12
7 Slaný 8 16 13 +3 8
8 Újezd Praha 4 8 15 13 +2 14
9 Ostrov 8 14 22 -8 7
10 Tempo Praha 8 13 14 -1 10
11 Slovan Velvary 8 13 17 -4 13
12 Slavoj Vyšehrad 8 13 22 -9 7
13 Štětí 8 12 15 -3 10
14 Hvězda Cheb 7 12 23 -11 6
15 Ústí nad Labem II 8 8 24 -16 5
16 Meteor Praha 7 6 13 -7 7