Milevsko vs Komárov Statistics & Analysis

Aug 16, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.27
0 1.33
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Komárov Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 11, 2026 · 01:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3609096

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Milevsko 0–0 Komárov
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 4. liga - Divizie A Ceca
  • Fixture: Milevsko vs Komárov
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-16 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Milevsko 1.27 — Komárov 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
4. liga - Divizie A Ceca 4. liga - Divizie A Ceca — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Křimice 8 6 0 2 18
2 Spartak Pribram 7 5 2 0 17
3 Petřín Plzeň 8 5 1 2 16
4 Komárov 8 4 4 0 16
5 Hluboká nad Vltavou 7 4 3 0 15
6 Hořovicko 8 4 2 2 14
7 Táborsko II 7 3 2 2 11
8 Spartak Soběslav 6 3 1 2 10
9 Doubravka 8 3 1 4 10
10 Strakonice 6 2 1 3 7
11 Rokycany 7 2 1 4 7
12 Slavoj Český Krumlov 7 2 0 5 6
13 Jiskra Domažlice II 7 1 0 6 3
14 Milevsko 7 0 2 5 2
15 Nyrsko 7 0 0 7 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Spartak Pribram 7 20 7 +13 17
2 Křimice 8 16 9 +7 18
3 Petřín Plzeň 8 16 9 +7 16
4 Spartak Soběslav 6 15 10 +5 10
5 Hluboká nad Vltavou 7 14 9 +5 15
6 Strakonice 6 14 17 -3 7
7 Hořovicko 8 13 9 +4 14
8 Táborsko II 7 13 9 +4 11
9 Doubravka 8 13 14 -1 10
10 Komárov 8 12 7 +5 16
11 Slavoj Český Krumlov 7 11 19 -8 6
12 Nyrsko 7 6 23 -17 0
13 Rokycany 7 5 10 -5 7
14 Jiskra Domažlice II 7 5 12 -7 3
15 Milevsko 7 4 13 -9 2