Statistiche / Calcio / Irlanda del Nord. Premiership dell'Irlanda del Nord / Crusaders FC vs Larne

Crusaders FC vs Larne Statistics & Analysis

Crusaders FC Crusaders FC
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.06
3 1.54
xG Accuracy: 50%
Larne Larne
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Larne Larne ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:49 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13224684

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Larne win · Crusaders FC 0–3 Larne
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premiership dell'Irlanda del Nord
  • Fixture: Crusaders FC vs Larne
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 24.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away 46.8%
  • xG (showing): Crusaders FC 1.06 — Larne 1.54 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Premiership dell'Irlanda del Nord Premiership dell'Irlanda del Nord — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Coleraine FC 11 9 1 1 28
2 Linfield 10 8 1 1 25
3 Larne 7 6 1 0 19
4 Glentoran 11 5 2 4 17
5 Carrick Rangers 11 5 1 5 16
6 Crusaders FC 11 5 0 6 15
7 Dungannon Swifts 10 4 1 5 13
8 Ballymena United 10 3 3 4 12
9 Cliftonville FC 11 4 0 7 12
10 Limavady United 10 4 0 6 12
11 Portadown 11 1 2 8 5
12 Bangor 11 1 2 8 5
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Coleraine FC 11 23 10 +13 28
2 Carrick Rangers 11 19 17 +2 16
3 Larne 7 15 3 +12 19
4 Glentoran 11 15 10 +5 17
5 Ballymena United 10 15 14 +1 12
6 Crusaders FC 11 15 21 -6 15
7 Linfield 10 14 6 +8 25
8 Cliftonville FC 11 12 13 -1 12
9 Dungannon Swifts 10 11 14 -3 13
10 Limavady United 10 11 16 -5 12
11 Bangor 11 10 24 -14 5
12 Portadown 11 8 20 -12 5
Premiership dell'Irlanda del Nord Irlanda del Nord. Premiership dell'Irlanda del Nord Pronostici