TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau Statistics & Analysis

TSV Hartberg

Oct 11, 2026 - 12:30

4 1.59

3 1.36

xG Accuracy: 33%

Austria Lustenau

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-1 4-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13202304

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result TSV Hartberg win · TSV Hartberg 4–3 Austria Lustenau

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Bundesliga Austriaca
Fixture: TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.5% · Draw 27.3% · Away 31.2%
xG (showing): TSV Hartberg 1.59 — Austria Lustenau 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.95)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +0.6%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Bundesliga Austriaca — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	18
2	Red Bull Salisburgo	7	5	2	0	17
3	LASK Linz	7	5	1	1	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	8
7	WSG Tirol	7	2	2	3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Rapid Vienna	7	21	7	+14	18
2	LASK Linz	7	19	7	+12	16
3	Red Bull Salisburgo	7	18	4	+14	17
4	Ried	7	11	12	-1	8
5	TSV Hartberg	7	10	13	-3	8
6	WSG Tirol	7	9	12	-3	8
7	Sturm Graz	7	8	9	-1	11
8	Austria Lustenau	7	8	11	-3	8
9	Austria Vienna	7	7	13	-6	7
10	Wolfsberger AC	7	7	13	-6	5
11	Grazer AK	7	6	16	-10	8
12	SCR Altach	7	5	12	-7	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	xG	xGC	+/-	PT
1	Rapid Vienna	7	14.1	5.6	+8.5	18
2	Red Bull Salisburgo	7	13.9	6.0	+7.9	17
3	LASK Linz	7	12.1	4.7	+7.4	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	10.0	6.8	+3.2	11
5	SCR Altach	7	8.0	8.1	-0.1	3
6	Ried	7	9.4	9.7	-0.3	8
7	TSV Hartberg	7	10.4	12.8	-2.4	8
8	WSG Tirol	7	7.1	9.9	-2.8	8
9	Grazer AK	7	7.6	11.4	-3.8	8
10	Wolfsberger AC	7	5.1	10.5	-5.4	5
11	Austria Lustenau	7	7.3	13.0	-5.7	8
12	Austria Vienna	7	4.4	11.0	-6.6	7