Statistiche / Calcio / Polonia. II Liga - Est / Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice

Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice Statistics & Analysis

Oct 04, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.24
1 1.36
xG Accuracy: 56%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Chojniczanka Chojnice Górnik Łęczna ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11678501

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Górnik Łęczna win · Górnik Łęczna 3–1 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: II Liga - Est
  • Fixture: Górnik Łęczna vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Górnik Łęczna 1.24 — Chojniczanka Chojnice 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 41.7% · Probability edge: +10.1 pts · Est. EV: +19.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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II Liga - Est II Liga - Est — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Znicz Pruszków 10 7 2 1 23
2 Górnik Łęczna 10 6 2 2 20
3 GKS Tychy 71 10 5 5 0 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 11 5 2 4 17
6 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 10 4 4 2 16
7 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 11 4 4 3 16
8 Hutnik Kraków 10 4 3 3 15
9 Lechia Zielona Góra 11 4 3 4 15
10 Chojniczanka Chojnice 11 4 3 4 15
11 Olimpia Grudziądz 10 4 3 3 15
12 Avia Świdnik 11 4 2 5 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 13
14 Legia Varsavia II 10 4 0 6 12
15 Śląsk Wrocław II 10 3 0 7 9
16 Sokół Kleczew 10 1 5 4 8
17 Świt Skolwin 11 2 2 7 8
18 Resovia Rzeszów 10 0 4 6 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Znicz Pruszków 10 23 12 +11 23
2 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 22 20 +2 18
3 Górnik Łęczna 10 21 10 +11 20
4 Legia Varsavia II 10 20 17 +3 12
5 Lechia Zielona Góra 11 20 18 +2 15
6 Chojniczanka Chojnice 11 19 19 0 15
7 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 19 23 -4 13
8 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 10 17 13 +4 16
9 Śląsk Wrocław II 10 17 20 -3 9
10 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 11 16 12 +4 17
11 Hutnik Kraków 10 16 13 +3 15
12 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 11 15 12 +3 16
13 GKS Tychy 71 10 14 6 +8 20
14 Avia Świdnik 11 14 17 -3 14
15 Olimpia Grudziądz 10 13 16 -3 15
16 Sokół Kleczew 10 11 23 -12 8
17 Świt Skolwin 11 11 25 -14 8
18 Resovia Rzeszów 10 7 19 -12 4