Statistiche / Calcio / Polonia. II Liga - Est / Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Górnik Łęczna

Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Górnik Łęczna Statistics & Analysis

Sep 18, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Zawisza Bydgoszcz Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 12, 2026 · 01:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8204884

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 0–0 Górnik Łęczna
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: II Liga - Est
  • Fixture: Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Górnik Łęczna
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-18 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1.32 — Górnik Łęczna 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.4% · Probability edge: +7.4 pts · Est. EV: +11.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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II Liga - Est II Liga - Est — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Znicz Pruszków 10 7 2 1 23
2 Górnik Łęczna 10 6 2 2 20
3 GKS Tychy 71 10 5 5 0 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 11 5 2 4 17
6 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 10 4 4 2 16
7 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 11 4 4 3 16
8 Lechia Zielona Góra 10 4 3 3 15
9 Hutnik Kraków 10 4 3 3 15
10 Chojniczanka Chojnice 11 4 3 4 15
11 Olimpia Grudziądz 10 4 3 3 15
12 Avia Świdnik 10 3 2 5 11
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 3 1 6 10
14 Legia Varsavia II 9 3 0 6 9
15 Śląsk Wrocław II 9 3 0 6 9
16 Sokół Kleczew 10 1 5 4 8
17 Świt Skolwin 10 2 2 6 8
18 Resovia Rzeszów 10 0 4 6 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Znicz Pruszków 10 23 12 +11 23
2 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 22 20 +2 18
3 Górnik Łęczna 10 21 10 +11 20
4 Lechia Zielona Góra 10 20 16 +4 15
5 Chojniczanka Chojnice 11 19 19 0 15
6 Legia Varsavia II 9 18 17 +1 9
7 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 10 17 13 +4 16
8 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 11 16 12 +4 17
9 Hutnik Kraków 10 16 13 +3 15
10 Stal Stalowa Wola 10 16 21 -5 10
11 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 11 15 12 +3 16
12 Śląsk Wrocław II 9 15 17 -2 9
13 GKS Tychy 71 10 14 6 +8 20
14 Olimpia Grudziądz 10 13 16 -3 15
15 Avia Świdnik 10 13 17 -4 11
16 Sokół Kleczew 10 11 23 -12 8
17 Świt Skolwin 10 11 24 -13 8
18 Resovia Rzeszów 10 7 19 -12 4