Makhachkala vs Akron Togliatti Statistics & Analysis

Makhachkala

Oct 17, 2026 - 13:30

1 1.59

1 1.47

xG Accuracy: 75%

Akron Togliatti

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Makhachkala Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 12, 2026 · 02:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-15148487

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Makhachkala 1–1 Akron Togliatti

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League Russia
Fixture: Makhachkala vs Akron Togliatti
Kickoff: 2026-10-17 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.2% · Draw 27.0% · Away 32.8%
xG (showing): Makhachkala 1.59 — Akron Togliatti 1.47 (total xG ≈ 3.06)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 59.0% · Implied: 47.2% · Probability edge: +11.8 pts · Est. EV: +23.9%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Premier League Russia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Dynamo	10	7	1	2	22
2	CSKA Mosca	10	6	4	0	22
3	Zenit San Pietroburgo	10	7	0	3	21
4	FC Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	21
5	Spartak Mosca	10	6	2	2	20
6	Rubin	10	2	6	2	12
7	FC Orenburg	10	2	6	2	12
8	Baltika	10	3	3	4	12
9	Makhachkala	10	4	0	6	12
10	Krylia Sovetov	10	2	6	2	12
11	Akhmat Grozny	10	2	5	3	11
12	FC Rostov	10	3	2	5	11
13	Lokomotiv Mosca	10	2	4	4	10
14	Akron Togliatti	10	1	5	4	8
15	Rodina Moskva	10	1	2	7	5
16	Fakel	10	0	3	7	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Zenit San Pietroburgo	10	22	11	+11	21
2	CSKA Mosca	10	18	9	+9	22
3	Spartak Mosca	10	17	8	+9	20
4	FC Krasnodar	10	16	10	+6	21
5	Dynamo	10	15	8	+7	22
6	Makhachkala	10	15	20	-5	12
7	Baltika	10	14	12	+2	12
8	Krylia Sovetov	10	14	15	-1	12
9	Lokomotiv Mosca	10	13	11	+2	10
10	Akhmat Grozny	10	13	13	0	11
11	Rubin	10	12	12	0	12
12	FC Orenburg	10	11	10	+1	12
13	FC Rostov	10	11	17	-6	11
14	Akron Togliatti	10	11	19	-8	8
15	Rodina Moskva	10	10	25	-15	5
16	Fakel	10	6	18	-12	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	xG	xGC	+/-	PT
1	Krylia Sovetov	10	4.4	1.3	+3.1	12
2	FC Orenburg	10	3.9	1.2	+2.7	12
3	Lokomotiv Mosca	10	2.5	2.2	+0.3	10
4	FC Krasnodar	10	1.2	0.9	+0.3	21
5	Zenit San Pietroburgo	10	0.9	1.2	-0.3	21
6	FC Rostov	10	0.5	0.8	-0.3	11
7	Akron Togliatti	10	1.7	2.1	-0.4	8
8	Fakel	10	3.0	4.3	-1.3	3
9	Makhachkala	10	2.8	4.8	-2.0	12
10	Spartak Mosca	10	0.6	2.6	-2.0	20
11	Dynamo	10	—	—	—	22
12	CSKA Mosca	10	—	—	—	22
13	Rubin	10	—	—	—	12
14	Baltika	10	—	—	—	12
15	Akhmat Grozny	10	—	—	—	11
16	Rodina Moskva	10	—	—	—	5