Oriental vs CA River Plate Statistics & Analysis

Oriental

Jul 04, 2026 - 23:00

1 1.33

2 1.27

xG Accuracy: 75%

CA River Plate

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Oriental CA River Plate ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 03:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1547293

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result CA River Plate win · Oriental 1–2 CA River Plate

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Segunda División Uruguay
Fixture: Oriental vs CA River Plate
Kickoff: 2026-07-04 23:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Oriental 1.33 — CA River Plate 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

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Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Segunda División Uruguay — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Oriental	6	4	1	1	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	12
3	Fénix	6	3	2	1	11
4	Sportivo Huracán	6	2	4	0	10
5	Colón	6	2	3	1	9
6	Uruguay Montevideo	6	2	3	1	9
7	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	9
8	Cerrito	6	2	3	1	9
9	La Luz	6	1	4	1	7
10	Miramar	6	1	2	3	5
11	Paysandú	6	1	1	4	4
12	Atenas	6	1	1	4	4
13	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	4
14	Tacuarembó	6	0	3	3	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Fénix	6	13	7	+6	11
2	Plaza Colonia	6	9	2	+7	12
3	Sportivo Huracán	6	9	6	+3	10
4	Oriental	6	8	5	+3	13
5	Colón	6	8	5	+3	9
6	Cerrito	6	8	8	0	9
7	Uruguay Montevideo	6	7	5	+2	9
8	Rentistas	6	6	5	+1	9
9	CA River Plate	6	6	13	-7	4
10	La Luz	6	5	6	-1	7
11	Tacuarembó	6	5	9	-4	3
12	Atenas	6	5	11	-6	4
13	Paysandú	6	4	7	-3	4
14	Miramar	6	3	7	-4	5