Statistiche / Calcio / Slovacchia. 2. liga / Petržalka vs MFK Bytča

Petržalka vs MFK Bytča Statistics & Analysis

Aug 02, 2026 - 08:30
4 1.42
0 1.18
xG Accuracy: 36%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Petržalka Petržalka ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 27, 2026 · 00:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1941466

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Petržalka win · Petržalka 4–0 MFK Bytča
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 2. liga
  • Fixture: Petržalka vs MFK Bytča
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-02 08:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): Petržalka 1.42 — MFK Bytča 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
2. liga 2. liga — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Petržalka 10 9 0 1 27
2 Šamorín 10 9 0 1 27
3 Považská Bystrica 10 6 1 3 19
4 Žilina II 9 5 1 3 16
5 Pohronie 10 5 1 4 16
6 FC Slovan Galanta 10 5 1 4 16
7 Inter Bratislava 10 4 3 3 15
8 Baník Lehota pod Vtáčnikom 10 3 4 3 13
9 Tatran Prešov 9 4 1 4 13
10 Zlaté Moravce 10 3 3 4 12
11 Liptovský Mikuláš 9 2 4 3 10
12 Malženice 9 3 1 5 10
13 Slovan Bratislava II 9 2 2 5 8
14 Humenné 9 2 1 6 7
15 MFK Bytča 10 2 0 8 6
16 Lokomotíva Zvolen 10 0 3 7 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Šamorín 10 22 10 +12 27
2 Petržalka 10 20 6 +14 27
3 Inter Bratislava 10 20 11 +9 15
4 Považská Bystrica 10 20 17 +3 19
5 Pohronie 10 16 15 +1 16
6 Baník Lehota pod Vtáčnikom 10 15 16 -1 13
7 Liptovský Mikuláš 9 13 11 +2 10
8 FC Slovan Galanta 10 13 14 -1 16
9 Žilina II 9 12 9 +3 16
10 Malženice 9 12 13 -1 10
11 Slovan Bratislava II 9 12 14 -2 8
12 Zlaté Moravce 10 10 9 +1 12
13 Tatran Prešov 9 10 12 -2 13
14 MFK Bytča 10 8 28 -20 6
15 Lokomotíva Zvolen 10 7 18 -11 3
16 Humenné 9 6 13 -7 7