Sparta Praga vs Pardubice Statistics & Analysis

Sparta Praga

Oct 11, 2026 - 16:00

2 1.53

0 1.15

xG Accuracy: 64%

Pardubice

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Sparta Praga Sparta Praga ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13229349

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sparta Praga win · Sparta Praga 2–0 Pardubice

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Czech Liga
Fixture: Sparta Praga vs Pardubice
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 52.0% · Draw 25.9% · Away 22.1%
xG (showing): Sparta Praga 1.53 — Pardubice 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.68)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Czech Liga — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Slavia Praga	9	7	2	0	23
2	Slovan Liberec	9	6	2	1	20
3	Mladá Boleslav	8	5	2	1	17
4	Sigma Olomouc	9	5	1	3	16
5	Teplice	9	5	1	3	16
6	Zbrojovka Brno	9	5	1	3	16
7	Sparta Praga	9	5	0	4	15
8	FK Jablonec	9	4	2	3	14
9	Hradec Králové	9	4	2	3	14
10	Viktoria Plzeň	9	2	4	3	10
11	Baník Ostrava	9	3	1	5	10
12	Bohemians 1905	8	2	3	3	9
13	Pardubice	9	2	2	5	8
14	Líšeň	9	1	2	6	5
15	Slovácko	9	0	4	5	4
16	Zlín	9	0	1	8	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Slavia Praga	9	25	6	+19	23
2	Sparta Praga	9	18	12	+6	15
3	Mladá Boleslav	8	17	9	+8	17
4	Teplice	9	17	15	+2	16
5	Viktoria Plzeň	9	17	17	0	10
6	Sigma Olomouc	9	16	13	+3	16
7	Slovan Liberec	9	13	4	+9	20
8	Zbrojovka Brno	9	12	12	0	16
9	FK Jablonec	9	11	9	+2	14
10	Bohemians 1905	8	9	11	-2	9
11	Pardubice	9	9	14	-5	8
12	Hradec Králové	9	8	9	-1	14
13	Zlín	9	8	19	-11	1
14	Slovácko	9	7	16	-9	4
15	Baník Ostrava	9	7	17	-10	10
16	Líšeň	9	7	18	-11	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	xG	xGC	+/-	PT
1	Slavia Praga	9	17.6	7.4	+10.2	23
2	Slovan Liberec	9	13.1	8.1	+5.0	20
3	Sparta Praga	9	15.7	11.5	+4.2	15
4	FK Jablonec	9	12.3	8.3	+4.0	14
5	Hradec Králové	9	8.5	6.6	+1.9	14
6	Viktoria Plzeň	9	11.6	10.0	+1.6	10
7	Teplice	9	10.7	10.2	+0.5	16
8	Bohemians 1905	8	9.3	9.6	-0.3	9
9	Zbrojovka Brno	9	8.2	8.6	-0.4	16
10	Pardubice	9	10.0	10.6	-0.6	8
11	Sigma Olomouc	9	9.6	10.4	-0.8	16
12	Líšeň	9	9.1	11.9	-2.8	5
13	Mladá Boleslav	8	12.3	15.9	-3.6	17
14	Baník Ostrava	9	11.7	17.2	-5.5	10
15	Slovácko	9	8.3	14.1	-5.8	4
16	Zlín	9	6.3	14.1	-7.8	1