Statistiche / Calcio / Repubblica Ceca. Czech Liga / Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava

Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.75
0 1.44
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 2-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13243675

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bohemians 1905 win · Bohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Czech Liga
  • Fixture: Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.6% · Draw 25.9% · Away 30.5%
  • xG (showing): Bohemians 1905 1.75 — Baník Ostrava 1.44 (total xG ≈ 3.19)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 61.8% · Implied: 55.3% · Probability edge: +6.5 pts · Est. EV: +8.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Czech Liga Czech Liga — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Slavia Praga 9 7 2 0 23
2 Slovan Liberec 9 6 2 1 20
3 Mladá Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 16
6 Zbrojovka Brno 9 5 1 3 16
7 Sparta Praga 9 5 0 4 15
8 FK Jablonec 9 4 2 3 14
9 Hradec Králové 9 4 2 3 14
10 Viktoria Plzeň 9 2 4 3 10
11 Baník Ostrava 9 3 1 5 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9
13 Pardubice 9 2 2 5 8
14 Líšeň 9 1 2 6 5
15 Slovácko 9 0 4 5 4
16 Zlín 9 0 1 8 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Slavia Praga 9 25 6 +19 23
2 Sparta Praga 9 18 12 +6 15
3 Mladá Boleslav 8 17 9 +8 17
4 Teplice 9 17 15 +2 16
5 Viktoria Plzeň 9 17 17 0 10
6 Sigma Olomouc 9 16 13 +3 16
7 Slovan Liberec 9 13 4 +9 20
8 Zbrojovka Brno 9 12 12 0 16
9 FK Jablonec 9 11 9 +2 14
10 Bohemians 1905 8 9 11 -2 9
11 Pardubice 9 9 14 -5 8
12 Hradec Králové 9 8 9 -1 14
13 Zlín 9 8 19 -11 1
14 Slovácko 9 7 16 -9 4
15 Baník Ostrava 9 7 17 -10 10
16 Líšeň 9 7 18 -11 5
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 Slavia Praga 9 17.6 7.4 +10.2 23
2 Slovan Liberec 9 11.4 7.2 +4.2 20
3 FK Jablonec 9 12.3 8.3 +4.0 14
4 Sparta Praga 9 13.3 10.4 +2.9 15
5 Hradec Králové 9 8.5 6.6 +1.9 14
6 Viktoria Plzeň 9 11.6 10.0 +1.6 10
7 Pardubice 9 8.9 8.2 +0.7 8
8 Sigma Olomouc 9 8.4 8.3 +0.1 16
9 Bohemians 1905 8 9.3 9.6 -0.3 9
10 Teplice 9 8.6 9.0 -0.4 16
11 Zbrojovka Brno 9 8.2 8.6 -0.4 16
12 Líšeň 9 9.1 11.9 -2.8 5
13 Mladá Boleslav 8 12.3 15.9 -3.6 17
14 Slovácko 9 7.5 12.4 -4.9 4
15 Baník Ostrava 9 11.7 17.2 -5.5 10
16 Zlín 9 6.3 14.1 -7.8 1