Grbalj vs Berane Statistics & Analysis

Grbalj

Sep 20, 2026 - 14:00

3 1.39

0 1.21

xG Accuracy: 46%

Berane

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Grbalj Grbalj ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8692923

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Grbalj win · Grbalj 3–0 Berane

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Seconda Lega Montenegro
Fixture: Grbalj vs Berane
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Grbalj 1.39 — Berane 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Seconda Lega Montenegro — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	7	3	4	0	13
2	Jedinstvo	7	4	1	2	13
3	Zeta	7	3	3	1	12
4	Lovćen	7	3	1	3	10
5	Grbalj	6	2	3	1	9
6	Rudar	7	2	3	2	9
7	Mogren	7	2	2	3	8
8	Kom	6	2	2	2	8
9	Iskra	7	2	1	4	7
10	Berane	7	0	2	5	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	7	12	7	+5	13
2	Jedinstvo	7	12	9	+3	13
3	Zeta	7	11	7	+4	12
4	Lovćen	7	11	14	-3	10
5	Mogren	7	10	8	+2	8
6	Rudar	7	9	11	-2	9
7	Grbalj	6	7	5	+2	9
8	Kom	6	7	6	+1	8
9	Iskra	7	4	8	-4	7
10	Berane	7	3	11	-8	2