Zeta vs Mogren Statistics & Analysis

Zeta

Sep 12, 2026 - 17:00

0 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 49%

Mogren

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Zeta Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7465561

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Zeta 0–0 Mogren

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Seconda Lega Montenegro
Fixture: Zeta vs Budva
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Zeta 1.32 — Budva 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Seconda Lega Montenegro — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Zeta	5	3	2	0	11
2	Mladost Lješkopolje	5	2	3	0	9
3	Mogren	5	2	1	2	7
4	Kom	5	2	1	2	7
5	Jedinstvo	5	2	1	2	7
6	Iskra	5	2	1	2	7
7	Lovćen	5	2	1	2	7
8	Grbalj	5	1	3	1	6
9	Rudar	5	1	2	2	5
10	Berane	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Mogren	5	8	5	+3	7
2	Mladost Lješkopolje	5	7	3	+4	9
3	Jedinstvo	5	7	7	0	7
4	Lovćen	5	7	10	-3	7
5	Zeta	5	6	1	+5	11
6	Kom	5	6	5	+1	7
7	Iskra	5	4	4	0	7
8	Grbalj	5	4	5	-1	6
9	Rudar	5	4	8	-4	5
10	Berane	5	2	7	-5	1