Kom vs Jedinstvo Statistics & Analysis

Kom

Aug 29, 2026 - 15:00

2 1.29

0 1.31

xG Accuracy: 57%

Jedinstvo

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Jedinstvo Kom ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 04:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5158945

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Kom win · Kom 2–0 Jedinstvo

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Seconda Lega Montenegro
Fixture: Kom vs Jedinstvo
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Kom 1.29 — Jedinstvo 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Seconda Lega Montenegro — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Zeta	5	3	2	0	11
2	Mladost Lješkopolje	5	2	3	0	9
3	Mogren	5	2	1	2	7
4	Kom	5	2	1	2	7
5	Jedinstvo	5	2	1	2	7
6	Iskra	5	2	1	2	7
7	Lovćen	5	2	1	2	7
8	Grbalj	5	1	3	1	6
9	Rudar	5	1	2	2	5
10	Berane	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Mogren	5	8	5	+3	7
2	Mladost Lješkopolje	5	7	3	+4	9
3	Jedinstvo	5	7	7	0	7
4	Lovćen	5	7	10	-3	7
5	Zeta	5	6	1	+5	11
6	Kom	5	6	5	+1	7
7	Iskra	5	4	4	0	7
8	Grbalj	5	4	5	-1	6
9	Rudar	5	4	8	-4	5
10	Berane	5	2	7	-5	1