Berane vs Iskra Statistics & Analysis

Aug 23, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.20
1 1.40
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Iskra Iskra ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 02:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4240008

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Iskra win · Berane 0–1 Iskra
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Seconda Lega Montenegro
  • Fixture: Berane vs Iskra
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Berane 1.2 — Iskra 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Seconda Lega Montenegro Seconda Lega Montenegro — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Mladost Lješkopolje 8 4 4 0 16
2 Jedinstvo 8 5 1 2 16
3 Zeta 8 4 3 1 15
4 Grbalj 7 3 3 1 12
5 Iskra 8 3 1 4 10
6 Lovćen 8 3 1 4 10
7 Rudar 8 2 3 3 9
8 Mogren 8 2 2 4 8
9 Kom 7 2 2 3 8
10 Berane 8 0 2 6 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Mladost Lješkopolje 8 15 9 +6 16
2 Jedinstvo 8 14 9 +5 16
3 Zeta 8 12 7 +5 15
4 Lovćen 8 11 15 -4 10
5 Grbalj 7 10 6 +4 12
6 Mogren 8 10 10 0 8
7 Rudar 8 10 14 -4 9
8 Kom 7 7 7 0 8
9 Iskra 8 5 8 -3 10
10 Berane 8 5 14 -9 2